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View Poll Results: Which Location will get the most snow from this event?
Burlington, VT 2 10.53%
Caribou, ME 0 0%
Bangor, ME 0 0%
Portland, ME 0 0%
Concord, NH 0 0%
Worcester, MA 4 21.05%
Boston, MA 0 0%
Providence, RI 0 0%
Hartford, CT 0 0%
Bridgeport, CT 0 0%
Albany, NY 0 0%
Binghamton, NY 0 0%
Syracuse, NY 0 0%
Buffalo, NY 1 5.26%
Islip, NY 1 5.26%
NYC (Central Park) 0 0%
Scranton, PA 5 26.32%
Philadelphia, PA 1 5.26%
Pittsburgh, PA 1 5.26%
Wilmington, DE 1 5.26%
Washington DC 1 5.26%
Atlantic City, NJ 0 0%
Elkins, WV 1 5.26%
Beckley, WV 1 5.26%
Richmond, VA 0 0%
Voters: 19. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 01-28-2021, 05:46 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Previous big snowstorm was https://www.city-data.com/forum/weath...17-2020-a.html where nobody won the poll. Brownbits won 2nd place. Frozenl69 3rd.


Choose which location for this event (could be long duration one) that will have the most snow from it. Using only the NWS Climo sites (not local areas) since its easier for me to find the totals.


Also please posts forecasts and updates for your area if you are getting effects from this storm. Thanks!


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Old 01-28-2021, 05:56 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,509 posts, read 75,269,804 times
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Poll set and will close Saturday morning Jan 30th. Good luck!

Here is a loop of just 1 model showing the event... (not a forecast and subject to change)

Storm will come from Ohio Valley and transfer its energy into a coastal storm. Where it transfers will be key in who gets snow or not north of NC




https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/anal...021012806&fh=6
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Old 01-28-2021, 08:59 AM
 
Location: Washington County, PA
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Euro says central Pennsylvania, so I'll go with Hazelton, PA (high above Harrisburg and Scranton, less of chance of mixing).


Once the meso's come out, the up-slope on the high ranges of the Alleghenies will be significant from this, putting places like Somerset and Johnstown, PA and Oakland, MD in the mix.


10-12" here from the Euro, nice! My yard hasn't been completely devoid of snow since November 30th!


This storm looks to be a mix-ey mess for the 95 corridor again to me.


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Old 01-28-2021, 10:50 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quick look at the data from the GFS12z for NYC.


Note the surface temps are cold enough. The 5000' level is below freezing. It snows from Sunday evening till Tuesday night. Add up the precip column and multiple by 10. That's the snow total using 10:1 normal ratios.


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Old 01-28-2021, 12:29 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,509 posts, read 75,269,804 times
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From the latest Euro with my annotations. Hope this helps explain how this storm is happening.


https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/anal...021012812&fh=0


This map is not showing precip. It's showing temps at 5000' and winds along with the Low Pressure system.


So anyone north of the thin "red line" (Freezing Line) would be snow


Sunday Jan 31st Storm is over the Ohio Valley. Watch what happens to it...





Monday Feb 1st it transferred its energy into the Coastal storm. This prevents warm air from pushing north AND strengthens the coastal storm. Great scenario for an East coast snowstorm but poor Atlantic City on this update.





Tues Feb 2nd its still around. Places will be seeing 48hrs of snowfall. Not every hour will see heavy rates though





By Wed Feb 3rd its moving out but throwing back snow into New England


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Old 01-28-2021, 09:50 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,509 posts, read 75,269,804 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by speagles84 View Post
Euro says central Pennsylvania, so I'll go with Hazelton, PA (high above Harrisburg and Scranton, less of chance of mixing).


Once the meso's come out, the up-slope on the high ranges of the Alleghenies will be significant from this, putting places like Somerset and Johnstown, PA and Oakland, MD in the mix.


10-12" here from the Euro, nice! My yard hasn't been completely devoid of snow since November 30th!


This storm looks to be a mix-ey mess for the 95 corridor again to me.

Check out the latest Canadian model snowfall total.

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Old 01-29-2021, 09:37 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Latest Euro model update will be out in 2 hrs. For now here is the GFS, Canadian, and the German model. Place your bets


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Old 01-29-2021, 11:27 AM
 
Location: Sedalia MO
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My guess is either Beckley West Virginia (mainly because of its elevation) or New York City. I can see NYC winning in the snowfall department because of its location just far enough east that it'll catch some of those heavier bands of snow once the coastal low really starts cranking up. Plus it's just far enough north that mixing likely won't be an issue there like it may be in coastal Jersey or even in Philadelphia where I am
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Old 01-29-2021, 11:38 AM
 
Location: Cumberland
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I picked Elkins, WV. Probably wrong. My thinking yesterday was that a 3 day event would mean a lot of precip. wrung out by the high mountain location. It seems the sweet spot is further north though. I guess we will see.

Our local forcast on both NOAA and Weather.com (Allegany County, MD) is calling for some mixed precip. with this storm, even though the ground temps will be well below freezing. Of course, this is the "new normal" over the past 4 years or so. I think only 2 times in that time period did we get a decent (6 inch+) snow storm. All the others were ice or slush storms. I am hoping this one isn't trending that way...
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Old 01-29-2021, 01:03 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,509 posts, read 75,269,804 times
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Euro12z today

Albany missing out. Well, they might get light stuff. Curious how much Atlantic City gets with this one. Should be interesting from Ohio to New England




Snowfall totals from this run


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