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But take a look at the end of week two. If the ECMWF is correct you're starting to see a negative EPO with a trough in the GOA with an Alaskan ridge building. This should promote colder temps for eastern North America in week 3 of November
Bastardi ultra bullish on a cold start to winter and a very very cold December for the Great Lakes. Wow he's going for a -5F anomaly
He also provides an SST anomaly map with corresponding anomalies over the land areas
He goes on further to show that an Easterly QBO that we are entering also favors cold
But take a look at the end of week two. If the ECMWF is correct you're starting to see a negative EPO with a trough in the GOA with an Alaskan ridge building. This should promote colder temps for eastern North America in week 3 of November
...
The operational GFS has a signal in that direction but it's too far away to be taken seriously and furthermore there's no serious support from the ensembles so I won't bother posting it. However, there is finally some cold air developing in Siberia (although the Canadian Arctic remains very mild).
I cut-and-paste the forecast for your viewing pleasure. Hard to fathom.
Quote:
This Afternoon
Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 3. Southeast wind 45 to 50 mph, with gusts as high as 60 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 98 to 104 inches possible.
Tonight
Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 0. Southeast wind 45 to 50 mph decreasing to 35 to 40 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 50 to 56 inches possible.
Monday
Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 5. Southeast wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 18 to 24 inches possible.
Waiting for a freeze here, models show below freezing temps aloft starting late Monday through most of the week. Whether or not that will translate to a freeze at the surface is the question.
is really that record candidate? I thought that zone was capable of even more. Those numbers are pretty reachable like every winter here in the central Andes, in fact even during this year's very lackluster season there was one atmosferic river in that range of snow maker. And of course in the southern patagonian icefield they're the norm.
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