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Old 10-30-2022, 02:44 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ral31 View Post
In moderate drought here. Got some rainfall yesterday morning and may get some late this coming week with heavier amounts northwest of here. October will end up with less than an inch of rainfall.
Perhaps that explains your October 19 freeze? It was fairly radiational, the Gulf Coastal Plain has quite sandy soil, and dry sandy soil loses heat very fast.
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Old 10-30-2022, 05:47 PM
 
Location: Alexandria, Louisiana
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Can't think of username View Post
Perhaps that explains your October 19 freeze? It was fairly radiational, the Gulf Coastal Plain has quite sandy soil, and dry sandy soil loses heat very fast.
The city of Alexandria and the main airport are located in the plain of the Red River which has alluvial/clay soil. The main airport got down to 32F but a secondary airport Esler which is located in an area of sandy soil and pine woods got down to 29F. The power station in a more urban part of Alexandria didn't get below 35F.
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Old 10-30-2022, 06:08 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ral31 View Post
The city of Alexandria and the main airport are located in the plain of the Red River which has alluvial/clay soil. The main airport got down to 32F but a secondary airport Esler which is located in an area of sandy soil and pine woods got down to 29F. The power station in a more urban part of Alexandria didn't get below 35F.
I see. Makes a lot of sense on both counts, sandy soil/pine woods is a common theme to cold hole airports in the Southern US (Tom77falcons told me that's what the inland cold hole airports of Mobile and Pascagoula are like too).

Areas with that combo are also very prone in general to radiational cooling even during wetter times (even though drier times would have more). So any amount of urbanization - which is pretty much the best counter to radiational cooling possible - will have a notable effect, even if the city, like Alexandria, is not particularly big.
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Old 10-30-2022, 07:08 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Surprised again! Didnt expect it to be this cold at 9pm.

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Old 10-30-2022, 07:59 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Lets keep an eye on it. Its what I always wanted. Let the PV strengthen and then split. Win win.

https://twitter.com/MikeMasco/status/1586884123406528512?t=CvB8YS2wTMnaHL2pw-4v-g&s=19
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Old 10-31-2022, 06:26 AM
 
Location: Fishers, IN
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If we end up with our forecast high of 64F today, Indianapolis will end up 1F below normal for the month of October. We are also 1.84 inches below normal on precipitation. While rain is in the forecast later this afternoon and evening, it should be light, less than a tenth of an inch. The beginning of November will be warm with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s for the next week. Normal highs for the first week of November go from the upper 50s on the 1st to the mid-50s by the 7th.
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Old 10-31-2022, 07:03 AM
 
Location: Indiana Uplands
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Torch torch torch for the first two weeks of November anywhere east of the Mississippi River. GFS consistent on showing a pattern change after November 12-14th with colder risks and going from well above average temperatures to snow potential in a matter of days.
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Old 10-31-2022, 07:27 AM
 
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I don't care how cold (most of) the Northern US gets as in the 2nd half of the month as long as my freeze monitoring list of Southern US cities (and a few Northeast/Mid-Atlantic places too) get spared. Hopefully it won't be bad enough to nuke 'em.
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Old 10-31-2022, 08:52 AM
 
Location: Victoria, BC, Canada
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Still need a lot of stars to align for a pattern change to take place. I'll believe it when I see it. Meanwhile, lots of winter out west.

Next 48 hours: another significant snowfall for Southern Alberta with up to 40cm possible in the foothills and Rockies:

Quote:
LOOKING A HEAD TO TUESDAY, THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL EVENT MOVES INTO ALBERTA. A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTH AND A LOW DEVELOPING IN MONTANA WILL CREATE THE PERFECT STORM FOR UPSLOPE SNOW IN SOUTHWESTERN ALBERTA. THE BIGGEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED ON EASTERN FACING SLOPES WITH 40 CM EXPECTED BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF LATE IN THE DAY WEDNESDAY. NORTH OF THE HEAVIEST SNOW 10-15 CM IS POSSIBLE FROM ABOUT CALGARY SOUTHWARDS.
Source: https://kamala.cod.edu/Canada/latest.focn45.CWWG.html

But the real cold arrives and sticks next week:

Source: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/
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Old 10-31-2022, 08:53 AM
 
Location: Indiana Uplands
26,428 posts, read 46,599,435 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Can't think of username View Post
I don't care how cold (most of) the Northern US gets as in the 2nd half of the month as long as my freeze monitoring list of Southern US cities (and a few Northeast/Mid-Atlantic places too) get spared. Hopefully it won't be bad enough to nuke 'em.
It will be much colder if the western ridge pops by the middle of November as the models are starting to indicate. Until then, temperatures will be 10-25F above average for many areas of the East.
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