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View Poll Results: How much snow will NYC get with this storm?
Over 6" 4 16.00%
Under 3" 11 44.00%
3-6" 10 40.00%
Voters: 25. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 01-05-2024, 01:12 PM
 
Location: Victoria, BC, Canada
5,738 posts, read 3,513,858 times
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Is it too late to change my vote to all rain?
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Old 01-06-2024, 06:46 AM
 
Location: New York Area
35,064 posts, read 17,014,369 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ed's Mountain View Post
Is it too late to change my vote to all rain?
Not an option but I voted <3. That's effectively a rain vote.
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Old 01-06-2024, 07:48 AM
 
Location: East Coast USA
976 posts, read 323,889 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jbgusa View Post
Not an option but I voted <3. That's effectively a rain vote.
I think the most interesting part of these Middle Atlantic winter storms (meaning below Boston but above Virginia Beach) is that no matter how HARD NWS/NOAA tries (and they DO try) to pin down snow vs rain, the climate and geography of this areas always seems to out flank them . LOL

Here are a few shots of temp outputs I saw this morning. The change in wind direction from north (Canada) to east/southeast (off the Atlantic Ocean) is what is changing a lot of areas to rain, including NYC, coastal Connecticut and Long Island.


Noon today:






7 PM tonight:

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Old 01-06-2024, 08:19 AM
 
Location: New York Area
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Quote:
Originally Posted by simonusa3 View Post
I think the most interesting part of these Middle Atlantic winter storms (meaning below Boston but above Virginia Beach) is that no matter how HARD NWS/NOAA tries (and they DO try) to pin down snow vs rain, the climate and geography of this areas always seems to out flank them . LOL

Here are a few shots of temp outputs I saw this morning. The change in wind direction from north (Canada) to east/southeast (off the Atlantic Ocean) is what is changing a lot of areas to rain, including NYC, coastal Connecticut and Long Island.


Noon today:






7 PM tonight:
There is a reason that snowstorms are rare this early; the ocean is still warm. Even the December 25, 1969 switched to rain when Saranac Lake was under-30F. In this case the “cold air supply” is pathetic. It takes a wind between 360 and 030 at this time of year to stay snow.

As for the NOAA, the training, for public safety purposes is to keep a mention of snow if there is any chance.
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Old 01-06-2024, 10:59 AM
 
Location: Southern West Virginia
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As of about an hour ago, we had .60 inches of rain and it was 36F. It looks like it’s going to be all rain for us until overnight, when it will switch to a wet snow. It was disappointing to think a week ago that we had a chance for 5-8 inches of snow only to get a cold rain.
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Old 01-06-2024, 11:56 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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A look at the 5000' temps and who's reporting what.

Philly reporting snow with temps aloft slightly below freezing (-1.5C). Hmmmm



Loop past 4hrs..

Ice storm in North Carolina high elevations where its freezing at surface and warm at 5000'

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Old 01-06-2024, 01:13 PM
 
Location: Washington County, PA
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Got 3.1" here in western Pennsylvania and it's stopped here. From 12-1, 1.9" fell, one of the heaviest rates of snow I've seen in a long time. Most of it fell in that band.
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Old 01-06-2024, 01:24 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by user491 View Post
As of about an hour ago, we had .60 inches of rain and it was 36F. It looks like it’s going to be all rain for us until overnight, when it will switch to a wet snow. It was disappointing to think a week ago that we had a chance for 5-8 inches of snow only to get a cold rain.
Probably the best chance in the next 2 weeks too.

Quote:
Originally Posted by speagles84 View Post
Got 3.1" here in western Pennsylvania and it's stopped here. From 12-1, 1.9" fell, one of the heaviest rates of snow I've seen in a long time. Most of it fell in that band.
WOW! Thanks for the report!

Flurries/Light snow in NYC

Moderate snow in Trenton, NJ with 1/2 mile visibility wind Chill value of 22°F while Light rain outside Philadelphia

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Old 01-06-2024, 02:07 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Central Park station reporting heavy snow as of 4pm. Any webcams confirm this? They might get their inch up front

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClic...lon=-73.975607

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Old 01-06-2024, 02:52 PM
 
Location: New York Area
35,064 posts, read 17,014,369 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Central Park station reporting heavy snow as of 4pm. Any webcams confirm this? They might get their inch up front

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClic...lon=-73.975607
That would break the 1" in a day snow drought. Exciting? Not.
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