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If you are viewing this as a matter of placing the smartest possible bet and not just as a rooting for your home team exercise, the clever money would not go down on the 12-1 Cubs which have improved themselves to the degree that we might expect them to play .500 ball this season, nor on the 25-1 Padres who made a bunch of changes which have as much of a chance of backfiring as working.
Rather, take a look at the Cleveland Indians, 28-1 shots. Their roster is a lot stronger than people are crediting.
The Padres made a lot of changes in order to improve, but the players that they gathered still have to perform. Will Wil perform like the 2013 ROY or the 2014 bust? Will Kemp stay healthy for a change? Even if they all hit well, it is still going to be the worst defensive outfield in baseball.Upton had a defensive WAR of -0.9 in 2014. For Myers it was -1.1. Kemp was the worst, -3.1. That is three leftfielders out there but I'm pretty sure that the Padres do not have three leftfields.
As for their offense, well, Petco is where statistics go to die for batters.
Derek Norris is a very poor defensive catcher who threw out only ten percent of those attempting steals. (You may recall the wild card game where KC swiped seven bases in defeating Oakland.) Norris stopped hitting in August after four months of hitting over his head.
The Padres made a big splash in the off season by bringing in "name" players, but how well it works out is a crapshoot. I would not place any money on them as WS champs even at 75 to 1.
poor team. Last year they finished 3rd in their division with no big names at all and had one of the best bullpen and ERA as a team. I would think next season would be more promising.
As of today, the odds at the British Bet365 house are:
Washington 5.5:1
Dodgers 7:1
Angels 10:1
Detroit 12:1
St. Louis 12:1
Boston 14:1
Giants 16:1
Royals 18:1
Anybody remember when was the last time the Cubs were considered a better shot at the WS than the Yankees?
Anybody remember when was the last time the Cubs were considered a better shot at the WS than the Yankees?
Yes, it was October 11th, 2003. The Yankees beat the Red Sox in the ALCS to go up two games to one, while on the same day the Cubs beat the Marlins in Miami to go up three games to one in the NLCS.
In that Chicago only needed to win one of the next three games to reach the WS, while the Yankees needed to win two of the next four, the odds favoring the Cubs reaching the series were better than those of NY.
Red Sox just lost their #1 catcher and the odds did not change. Putting money on the Mariners or Angels, or anyone else for that matter, to win the AL just became a better value.
Scherzer can pitch at the same level he did when he with my Tiger's last year, but if his team doesn't hit....it won't matter! He only has one win so far this year! GO TIGERS!!
With the Nats signing of Scherzer, they are now the current favorites to win the 2015 World Series. I personally will be laying down 300 online fun units on the Rays.
Washington Nationals 6/1
Los Angeles Dodgers
8/1 Boston Red Sox 12/1
Chicago Cubs
12/1
Los Angeles Angels
12/1
St. Louis Cardinals
12/1 Detroit Tigers 14/1 Seattle Mariners 16/1
San Francisco Giants
18/1
Toronto Blue Jays
18/1
Interesting. I underlined the busts from the top 10 favorites (2 tied at 18-1 for 10th and 11th, actually).
With the Nats signing of Scherzer, they are now the current favorites to win the 2015 World Series. I personally will be laying down 300 online fun units on the Rays.
Kansas City Royals
25/1
New York Yankees
25/1
New York Mets
33/1
Pittsburgh Pirates
33/1
Houston Astros
66/1
The above would be in the playoffs as of now.
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