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Consider the worst-case scenario - IS (ISIL) takes over Baghdad and charges south, taking control of Basra and therefore all of Iraq. Their next target will obviously be Kuwait. Kuwait's puny army won't last a day, and being Arabs they won't accept help from Iran but will do so from the U.S. What do you think Obama will do?
Obama will not. A growing Ilsmaic State will be an even bigger version of the problem he's currently afraid to tackle.
More to the point an Islamic State on the march as you describe might not have to "target" Kuwait. There's a very real chance a good portion of the militaries of the Arab kingdoms would go over to the other side in such a case.
I can't see that happening, because you forget, not the religious component of Middle Eastern politics...that's just a red herring...but the tribal aspect. I think Isis aligns with the Sunni's, so does Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. Isis attacks Sunni land and they lose there funding and support.
Regardless, the US voters today are in an isolationist mode. Something I see as dangerous because, sooner or later, issues that happen over there, anywhere, end up effecting the US sooner or later. But Obama is a populist president and sways with the direction of the polls with his attempt to do something, anything, to get his popularity back up. Combine that with the fact that he has, let's be honest, essentially "checked-out" from being president, disengaged, more concerned with funding speaches, and you have your answer.
It is clear by now that there is nothing that would move Obama. I am actually happy with it. For as long as I remember the US was accused by the left of being the world's policeman. OK, we are out. You take care of it. We are already seeing the consequences.
Consider the worst-case scenario - IS (ISIL) takes over Baghdad and charges south, taking control of Basra and therefore all of Iraq. Their next target will obviously be Kuwait. Kuwait's puny army won't last a day, and being Arabs they won't accept help from Iran but will do so from the U.S. What do you think Obama will do?
Consider the worst-case scenario - IS (ISIL) takes over Baghdad and charges south, taking control of Basra and therefore all of Iraq. Their next target will obviously be Kuwait.
There's nothing obvious about it. Even if they did somehow manage to overcome overwhelming Shia opposition and take control of all of Iraq, they'd be too busy coping with the inevitable Shia-on-Sunni guerrilla warfare to bother with invading any more countries.
They might have the manpower to destroy Shia (and other non-Sunni) populations and shrines in Mosul and Tikrit, but in the rest of Iraq? Doubtful.
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