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Old 03-25-2016, 12:09 PM
 
4,231 posts, read 3,559,630 times
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I want your genuine thoughts about this.

I'm looking at a lot of sources like IMF, World Bank, UN....etc.

And they all predict no recessions but very little growth.

GDPNow is suggesting 1.x% growth for this year now.

What do you think??

You can include your expectations about stocks, bonds, FX, real estate....etc as well.
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Old 03-25-2016, 06:21 PM
 
Location: Haiku
7,132 posts, read 4,770,781 times
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I think if everyone keeps predicting a mediocre economy, that eventually it will become a self-fulfilling prophecy. That is one thing I hate about the "America is weak and pathetic" politicians. People believe that nonsense and give up.

Anyway, I have no idea what will happen. Hope for the best but be prepared for the worst, I guess.
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Old 03-25-2016, 06:53 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TwoByFour View Post
I think if everyone keeps predicting a mediocre economy, that eventually it will become a self-fulfilling prophecy. That is one thing I hate about the "America is weak and pathetic" politicians. People believe that nonsense and give up.

Anyway, I have no idea what will happen. Hope for the best but be prepared for the worst, I guess.
But everyone is predicting for a reason.

We are poor now.
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Old 03-25-2016, 08:55 PM
 
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The Economist magazine has 2016 at 2% and 2017 at 2.2%. That projection is from polling a fairly large pool of economists. 2015 was 2.4%. It doesn't mean some major global problem couldn't happen to blow those numbers out of the water but nobody but the lunatic fringe thinks we're going to plunge into a huge depression.
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Old 03-25-2016, 10:10 PM
 
Location: Haiku
7,132 posts, read 4,770,781 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by J.Thomas View Post
But everyone is predicting for a reason.
The people predicting are largely media types who get paid to come up with predictions, or they are academics who are expected to predict, whether they really want to or not. How often do people go back and check whether so and so was right? Never.

A friend told me long ago to only worry about what I can control. The economy is way out of my control so I don't get too concerned with what others are saying.
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Old 03-25-2016, 11:24 PM
 
Location: Spain
12,722 posts, read 7,580,425 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by J.Thomas View Post
We are poor now.
And by his 2nd post, off the rails he goes....
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Old 03-26-2016, 03:10 AM
 
106,703 posts, read 108,880,922 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by J.Thomas View Post
But everyone is predicting for a reason.

We are poor now.
not everyone is poor now . other folks have found a way . those that don't find a way are poor , they just find an excuse for being poor .

our kids and their spouse's earn more today at the beginning of their careers then i retired at .

quite a few on these forums here are quite successful through the same conditions .

Last edited by mathjak107; 03-26-2016 at 04:38 AM..
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Old 03-26-2016, 04:40 AM
 
5,907 posts, read 4,433,649 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lieqiang View Post
And by his 2nd post, off the rails he goes....

World GDP 78 Trillion.
United States GDP 17.4 trillion.


22% of the world's economy


World population 7.3 billion.
United States population 319 million.


4% of the world's population.






Two measures of health are widely used in economic history: life expectancy at birth (or average length of life) and average height, which measures nutritional conditions during the growing years.


In 1850 the life expectancy of an American was 38.3 years.
In 1998, the life expectancy of an American was 76.7 years.


The average height of an American man is up more than 2 inches during that time frame.
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Old 03-26-2016, 08:32 AM
 
24,559 posts, read 18,275,306 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lieqiang View Post
And by his 2nd post, off the rails he goes....
In "We are poor", it depends on who "we" is, right? He could be completely correct if he's talking about the group with no 21st century job skills and minimal work ethic. That's the express ticket to poverty.
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Old 03-26-2016, 09:55 AM
 
10,075 posts, read 7,546,021 times
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seems good either way... stocks boom and my portfolio grows, or stocks crash and i keep buying and wait for market to recover and my portfolio grows...

not even 30 yet, i see no reason to be so down on life... thats would be 60 years to be miserable if so...
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