Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
Not good news for the wingnuts. Paul had led by 15% (55-40) in the previous Bluegrass Poll. Looks like Rand is turning out to be a little too crazy for Kentucky after all..
Quote:
Democrat Jack Conway has cut sharply into Republican Rand Paul's once-commanding lead in Kentucky's U.S. Senate race, moving into a statistical tie with a little more than five weeks before Election Day, according to the latest Courier-Journal/WHAS11 Bluegrass Poll.
The poll shows that Conway, the state's attorney general, is now appealing to voters who say they are neutral on the tea party — Paul's base of support.
And Conway is building a significant lead among women, who earlier were almost evenly split between the two candidates.
According to the poll, Paul leads Conway 49 percent to 47 percent, with 4 percent undecided. That lead is well within the poll's 4 percentage point margin of error.
The Survey USA poll that showed Paul up by 15 had a D/I/R sample of 47/10/42, which is in line with the 2008 Kentucky presidential exit poll sample of 47/15/38.
Like I said up top, it stands to reason that Republican turnout will be better this year than it was two years ago. So what’s the sample in this new poll showing the race now within the margin of error?
51D/12I/38R.
Does anyone in their right mind think this is credible?
Just another attempt by the biased media to try and prop up the dems.
Does anyone in their right mind think this is credible?
Just another attempt by the biased media to try and prop up the dems.
Sure it is. And you can question the poll's credibility, but this particular poll was conducted for the Courier Journal by SUSA. Seems to me they were a favorite in the past when the numbers were more to your liking..
Certainly SUSA has a pretty good track record. Nate Sliver, in his Pollster Ratings, has them down as the third most reliable firm out there..
A DSCC survey that came out the other day had Paul up by 3%. In fact, five of the last six polls released have shown the race to either be tied, or Paul's lead to be in single digits. Predictably, (R)asmussen is the exception..
Sure it is. And you can question the poll's credibility, but this particular poll was conducted for the Courier Journal by SUSA. Seems to me they were a favorite in the past when the numbers were more to your liking..
Certainly SUSA has a pretty good track record. Nate Sliver, in his Pollster Ratings, has them down as the third most reliable firm out there..
A DSCC survey that came out the other day had Paul up by 3%. In fact, five of the last six polls released have shown the race to either be tied, or Paul's lead to be in single digits. Predictably, (R)asmussen is the exception..
Don't drink the koolaid. When you change your criteria you loose credibility.
Their last poll = 42% Republican and 47% Democrat
Their new poll = 36% Republican and 51% Democrat
The SurveyUSA sample for this poll is 51 percent Democrat and 36 percent Republican.
The 2008 turnout in the state was 47 percent Democrat and 38 percent Republican.
If you believe Rand Paul is ahead by two points then you have to believe that Kentucky dems are going to turn out for Jack Conway in greater proportions than they did for Barack Obama.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Upton
Not good news for the wingnuts. Paul had led by 15% (55-40) in the previous Bluegrass Poll. Looks like Rand is turning out to be a little too crazy for Kentucky after all..
Speaking of wingnuts, knowing now the sample YOU quoted has little substance, how does the koolaid taste now?
Don't drink the koolaid. When you change your criteria you loose credibility.
Their last poll = 42% Republican and 47% Democrat
Their new poll = 36% Republican and 51% Democrat
The SurveyUSA sample for this poll is 51 percent Democrat and 36 percent Republican.
The 2008 turnout in the state was 47 percent Democrat and 38 percent Republican.
If you believe Rand Paul is ahead by two points then you have to believe that Kentucky dems are going to turn out for Jack Conway in greater proportions than they did for Barack Obama.
Speaking of wingnuts, knowing now the sample YOU quoted has little substance, how does the koolaid taste now?
This is the 2nd time in a short thread you have posted this without saying anything. All it takes is just a little effort on your part to become informed. Please do so.
*****The 2008 turnout in the state was 47 percent Democrat and 38 percent Republican. If you believe Rand Paul is ahead by two pointsthen you have to believe that Kentucky dems are going to turn out for Jack Conway in greater proportions than they did for Barack Obama.*****
Not good news for the wingnuts. Paul had led by 15% (55-40) in the previous Bluegrass Poll. Looks like Rand is turning out to be a little too crazy for Kentucky after all..
This is the 2nd time in a short thread you have posted this without saying anything. All it takes is just a little effort on your part to become informed. Please do so.
*****The 2008 turnout in the state was 47 percent Democrat and 38 percent Republican. If you believe Rand Paul is ahead by two pointsthen you have to believe that Kentucky dems are going to turn out for Jack Conway in greater proportions than they did for Barack Obama.*****
Not if they are drinking a hot, steaming cup of Buyer's Remorse.....
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
You fail
