How Daunting Is Santorum’s Delegate Math? (votes, conservative, government)
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This is a good article that explains why it will be improbable for Santorum to get enough delegates to win...possible but not probable. More possible to get enough to block Romney from attaining the number to win, but still difficult and then with the impact of the Super Delegates...still not probable. Of course, anything can happen in politics. Romney really would have to have a huge scandal or really tank across the board.
And with Newt refusing to drop out, all he does is hurt Santorum, he does nothing to hinder Romney, other than to drag out the inevitable.
Kind of makes me wonder if Newt isnt secretly in bed with Romney, by staying in he splits the religious far-right conservative vote that could possibly make Santorum a realistic threat.
And with Newt refusing to drop out, all he does is hurt Santorum, he does nothing to hinder Romney, other than to drag out the inevitable.
Kind of makes me wonder if Newt isnt secretly in bed with Romney, by staying in he splits the religious far-right conservative vote that could possibly make Santorum a realistic threat.
Newt staying in hurts Romney. Newt's votes would be split between Romney and Santorum. So that Newt is taking delegates away from Romney who may or may not reach the magic # of 1144 delegates.
This is a good article that explains why it will be improbable for Santorum to get enough delegates to win...possible but not probable. More possible to get enough to block Romney from attaining the number to win, but still difficult and then with the impact of the Super Delegates...still not probable. Of course, anything can happen in politics. Romney really would have to have a huge scandal or really tank across the board.
Or perhaps Romney will continue to under perform....
Quote:
And there is the chance that Mr. Romney will beat these projections, putting pressure on his opponents — winning Alabama or Mississippi on Tuesday, for instance, could help Mr. Romney to put an end to the race quickly.
Suppose, however, that Mr. Santorum beats his numbers instead. Specifically, suppose that he gets 5 percent more of the vote in each state than under the baseline case, and that Mr. Romney gets 5 percent less.
This would flip four states to Mr. Santorum: Illinois, Delaware (more important than you might think since it’s strictly winner-take-all), Montana and New Mexico.
The math is fatal to Santorum. Consider this past week, when RS won 2 states, and fell a few more delegates behind for the week. Finishing 2nd though was overachieving for RS.
The math is fatal to Santorum. Consider this past week, when RS won 2 states, and fell a few more delegates behind for the week. Finishing 2nd though was overachieving for RS.
Even though the media played the week as a wins for Santorum and ignored that actually where it counts (delegates) it was a win for Romney actually. Santorum made no headway at all. The way this is structured and with as many contests that are still proportional he would have to win by a huge percentage to get ahead.
Not every state is voting based on who can thump that bible the loudest. Some people aren't looking to legislate their values and impose them on other people.
Not every state is voting based on who can thump that bible the loudest. Some people aren't looking to legislate their values and impose them on other people.
Yet you back big government candidates that do that very same thing. Get your mom to proof read you posts first.
The math is fatal to Santorum. Consider this past week, when RS won 2 states, and fell a few more delegates behind for the week. Finishing 2nd though was overachieving for RS.
Romney is running out of islands, though. The RNC really stacked the deck for him and he still can't close.
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