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Old 10-03-2012, 02:30 PM
 
12,638 posts, read 8,956,097 times
Reputation: 7458

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https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...xQ0F4OVE#gid=0

The key numbers for early voting can be found at the top of the spreadsheet.

In 2008, there were 1,159,301 absentee ballot requests. In 2012, there have only been 644,623 such requests - a difference of 514,678 FEWER this election.

More importantly, returned absentee ballots are at 188,630 for the Democrats and 154,531 for the Republicans - a difference of a little over 5% in favor of the Democrats. In contrast, the Democrats returned 384,252 ballots in 2008, compared to the GOP's 225,382 - a difference of almost 14%.

The long and short is that the GOP has improved massively on its ground game from 2008, and the stats show it.

Obama has a very long road to go to recapture Ohio, particularly given the fact that he won it by a paltry 4 points in 2008.

Romney is looking VERY good in Ohio.
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Old 10-03-2012, 02:34 PM
 
12,638 posts, read 8,956,097 times
Reputation: 7458
To summarize the spreadsheet: in every county (red or blue) there is a sharp increase in absentee ballot requests from Republicans and a significant decrease from Democrats. Cuyahoga (Cleveland), the the Democrat's gold mine in Ohio, is down 6%, which would translate in a general election to a decrease of 60,000-70,000 votes. Franklin County (Columbus) went for Obama by 21 points. The Dems are TRAILING there by 6,000 absentee requests. (That's a 'swing' of about 25 points).

Yes, Romney is looking VERY good in Ohio.
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Old 10-03-2012, 02:34 PM
 
41,110 posts, read 25,740,361 times
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Hurry! They better give out more Obamaphones!
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Old 10-03-2012, 02:35 PM
 
12,638 posts, read 8,956,097 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by petch751 View Post
Hurry! They better give out more Obamaphones!
I don't think there are enough Obamaphones in existence to save this sorry President from getting fired on November 6th.
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Old 10-03-2012, 02:36 PM
 
Location: NC
9,984 posts, read 10,394,292 times
Reputation: 3086
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trace21230 View Post
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...xQ0F4OVE#gid=0

The key numbers for early voting can be found at the top of the spreadsheet.

In 2008, there were 1,159,301 absentee ballot requests. In 2012, there have only been 644,623 such requests - a difference of 514,678 FEWER this election.

More importantly, returned absentee ballots are at 188,630 for the Democrats and 154,531 for the Republicans - a difference of a little over 5% in favor of the Democrats. In contrast, the Democrats returned 384,252 ballots in 2008, compared to the GOP's 225,382 - a difference of almost 14%.

The long and short is that the GOP has improved massively on its ground game from 2008, and the stats show it.

Obama has a very long road to go to recapture Ohio, particularly given the fact that he won it by a paltry 4 points in 2008.

Romney is looking VERY good in Ohio.
You do realize that mail in ballots tend to favor GOP while in person absentee voting tends to favor Democrats and in-person absentee aka early voting just started in Ohio yesterday.

If anything turnout is likely to be higher.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/...evels-in-ohio/
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Old 10-03-2012, 02:37 PM
 
Location: NC
1,672 posts, read 1,771,776 times
Reputation: 524
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trace21230 View Post
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...xQ0F4OVE#gid=0

The key numbers for early voting can be found at the top of the spreadsheet.

In 2008, there were 1,159,301 absentee ballot requests. In 2012, there have only been 644,623 such requests - a difference of 514,678 FEWER this election.

More importantly, returned absentee ballots are at 188,630 for the Democrats and 154,531 for the Republicans - a difference of a little over 5% in favor of the Democrats. In contrast, the Democrats returned 384,252 ballots in 2008, compared to the GOP's 225,382 - a difference of almost 14%.

The long and short is that the GOP has improved massively on its ground game from 2008, and the stats show it.

Obama has a very long road to go to recapture Ohio, particularly given the fact that he won it by a paltry 4 points in 2008.

Romney is looking VERY good in Ohio.
You never liked statistics did you?

Anyways, if I were to use your version of number play from say this article:In tipping-point Ohio, early voting turnout in 2012 up big time over 2008 - Columbus Government | Examiner.com

I would state that Democrats have a 1640% higher early voting turn out in some counties, which while absurd use of statistics, is true from those numbers.
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Old 10-03-2012, 02:40 PM
 
Location: My beloved Bluegrass
20,126 posts, read 16,163,816 times
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I do not think this information ought to be public until after the election. The whole reason I don't like early voting is because it might impact later voting.
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Old 10-03-2012, 02:41 PM
 
12,638 posts, read 8,956,097 times
Reputation: 7458
Look at the data in the spreadsheet. It proves Obama's in huge trouble. I know you sock puppets aren't used to seeing anything that isn't propaganda from the media telling you what you want to hear, but it's all there in black and white for you.
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Old 10-03-2012, 02:41 PM
 
Location: NC
1,672 posts, read 1,771,776 times
Reputation: 524
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trace21230 View Post
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...xQ0F4OVE#gid=0

The key numbers for early voting can be found at the top of the spreadsheet.

In 2008, there were 1,159,301 absentee ballot requests. In 2012, there have only been 644,623 such requests - a difference of 514,678 FEWER this election.

More importantly, returned absentee ballots are at 188,630 for the Democrats and 154,531 for the Republicans - a difference of a little over 5% in favor of the Democrats. In contrast, the Democrats returned 384,252 ballots in 2008, compared to the GOP's 225,382 - a difference of almost 14%.

The long and short is that the GOP has improved massively on its ground game from 2008, and the stats show it.

Obama has a very long road to go to recapture Ohio, particularly given the fact that he won it by a paltry 4 points in 2008.

Romney is looking VERY good in Ohio.
Also your numbers are wrong, according to the Ohio Republican Secretary of State, who has stated 922K absentee ballot applicatoins have been received. Since your numbers are so far off, you are using either highly outdated information or just flatly am using questionable numbers (i.e., fake...).
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Old 10-03-2012, 02:44 PM
 
Location: NC
9,984 posts, read 10,394,292 times
Reputation: 3086
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trace21230 View Post
Look at the data in the spreadsheet. It proves Obama's in huge trouble. I know you sock puppets aren't used to seeing anything that isn't propaganda from the media telling you what you want to hear, but it's all there in black and white for you.
Not really since you are comparing apples to oranges. The in person absentee voting just started. At the end of the in person absentee voting period we well have a good idea of the difference in early voting turnout between 2008-2012.

You are basically comparing a completed early voting period to one that has been happening for 2 days and has a month to go.

If anything it looks like this early voting period will see more voters then 2008.
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