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I can believe this cause it is from Nate Silver who seems to be accurate. Although it isn't a hard prediction since the redistricting that happened in 2010, many of the Republican seats are deep red seats that will be safe for them unless there is a massive change over of people in their voting districts.
Of course my prediction is the Republicans will hold the House for many terms to come, but the Democrats will hold the Senate and President for many terms to come as well.
All due to the 2010 mid-terms, which then took advantage of the 2010 Census to gerrymander control to the GOP until 2022.
Basically, it was by far the stupidest move done by the Democrats in recent years, they should of fought harder and been very vocal with trying to get everyone out to vote, that was very short sighted of them to think Tea Party candidates didn't stand a chance.
Basically, it was by far the stupidest move done by the Democrats in recent years, they should of fought harder and been very vocal with trying to get everyone out to vote, that was very short sighted of them to think Tea Party candidates didn't stand a chance.
Democrats didn't think they had a chance in 2010. And they didn't.
Democrats have used gerrymandering in the past and have had structural advantages in House elections before because of it. They did use it following the 2010 election themselves in the states where they could - very extreme gerrymandering in some states like Maryland.
I can believe this cause it is from Nate Silver who seems to be accurate.
Nate Silver isn't always accurate long before elections. Hell, even in September of 2010, he said the Republicans had a ~25% chance of gaining 60 seats in the House.
Is there anything that can be done about gerrymandering? It doesn't serve the American people of either party well.
It's a state issue. Some states have set up nonpartisan redistricting commissions.
While I disapprove of gerrymandering, I support my state doing it as long as blue states are doing it too. (In fact, my state does it far less egregiously than a lot of the blue states do, though it is more because the Voting Rights Act keeps Republicans from doing extreme gerrymandering.)
Nate Silver isn't always accurate long before elections. Hell, even in September of 2010, he said the Republicans had a ~25% chance of gaining 60 seats in the House.
This being said, he is correct on this. It would take a huge Democratic wave which is even less likely in a mid-term with a Democratic president.
Shocking, you agree with him on what you want to happen
Anyway, no need to jump the gun, the republicans are still in full implode mode. Hopefully the last two Presidential losers will keep spewing their bitter vile hate and continue to smear the entire party.
The GOP is flaming out and fighting for its life. Either the Republican idiots in the House do something to help this country, or their numbers will be severely depleted.
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Nate Silver? Who is he?
