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Craighead County has not been represented by a Republican in the state senate since reconstruction. An analysis from the left-wing Daily Kos explained the dynamics and significance of this race:
Craighead County is part of the Delta. As such, it is part of the rural Democratic coalition that dominated state politics for over a century. Today, county politics are still largely Democratic…On the politics side of things, this election is huge. Craighead County is a key area of the state for both Mark Pryor and Mike Ross to win (they need to get at minimum 49% of the vote in this county to win the state) If Rockwell can’t put up a decent showing, Democrats are going to have some serious issues going into 2014.
Thankfully, Mark Pryor isn't the only Democrat who is going to lose his job over Obamacare. He will be joined by many other lying Democrats. (Redundant, I know.)
i need more then 7,500 votes to convince me. this is a seat that is up for re-election at the end of the year, who cares? i follow politics closely and didn't even know about this race, and neither did 98 percent of the rest of the nation.
you said the same thing about obamacare destroying the virginia dem governor candidate who ended up beating cucinelli a few months ago.
So we are now banking the 2014 congressional elections on a state senate election in some random rural county that most Americans have never heard of? In the real world that is known as a stretch, and quite a big one if you ask me.
Not buying it, Trace. The same things were being said to the run up of the 2010 election, and there was no change to the party structure in DC
trace is cherry picking results.
trace said the virginia governors race was a referendum on obamacare, over a million people voted: dem wins.
trace says some arkansas state senate district nobody has ever heard of is a referendum on obamacare, 7,500 people voted, now look out, GOP in 2014.
trace dismissed a sample of over 1 million, yet praises this minisciule amount of 7500.
Mark Pryor may well lose the Senate race. But it won't be a referendum on "Obamacare". It will be part of a larger and more basic shift in the political demographics of the state. Arkansas has always been a conservative state, but a conservative state that was happy with Blue Dog Democrats (conservative Democrats) representing them. As the Democratic Party has gained ascendancy nationally, the Blue Dog Democrats became less and less relevant to the formulation of national policy. Conservative Arkansas citizens are shifting from Blue Dog Democrats to Republicans, because they want conservative representation. Mark Pryor has a tough fight on his hands. But Cotton won't have an easy time of it, either. Pryor has to run on his own conservative credentials, and he does have them, but Pryor also has standing in the Senate, a history, power and connections. And Cotton's so conservative, that he gets blowback. As a relative newcomer to politics, that played well in his run for US Representative, but might not give him that advantage in the run for the Senate.
you were the one who said cucinelli was going to win VA because of Obamacare and you were proven wrong for the 100th time.
Really, when did I say that? Or are you just making things up again?
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