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Old 02-26-2016, 10:43 AM
 
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New Poll from We Ask America
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...is-democratic/

Illinois
Hillary Clinton - 57%
Bernie Sanders - 28%
Others / Undecided - 15%

 
Old 02-26-2016, 10:44 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by emm74 View Post
Interesting

The two candidates tied at 44 percent each among 18-29-year-old voters.

Looks like that youth firewall continues to crumble.
Makes sense. 58% of the electorate is African American, and they overwhelmingly support Clinton no matter what age. Clinton has been airing ads on urban radio stations for weeks now according to reports. They are all on board. Sanders simply does not have the money and few people know who he is and what he stands for in Georgia.
 
Old 02-26-2016, 10:54 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PCALMike View Post
Makes sense. 58% of the electorate is African American, and they overwhelmingly support Clinton no matter what age. Clinton has been airing ads on urban radio stations for weeks now according to reports. They are all on board. Sanders simply does not have the money and few people know who he is and what he stands for in Georgia.
Hillary does really well in big states that are just too overwhelming for Sanders to overcome.
In 2008, the only big states she lost to Obama were Illinois, Georgia, and North Carolina, but all 3 are likely to deliver big wins for Hillary this year.

Sanders will probably need to rely on smaller white states like VT, ME, WV, AK, UT, OR to gain ground.
 
Old 02-26-2016, 10:55 AM
 
Location: Denver CO
24,201 posts, read 19,215,171 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PCALMike View Post
Makes sense. 58% of the electorate is African American, and they overwhelmingly support Clinton no matter what age. Clinton has been airing ads on urban radio stations for weeks now according to reports. They are all on board. Sanders simply does not have the money and few people know who he is and what he stands for in Georgia.
Ok, then, serious question, not a dig, but how does he make the math work if he ends up in a big hole after Super Tuesday? He doesn't have the time or the ability to focus on one state at a time anymore, and he's seemingly not getting known and/or getting his message across without that and even after Tuesday, the primaries come fast and furious for a while.
 
Old 02-26-2016, 11:00 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Daywalk View Post
Hillary does really well in big states that are just too overwhelming for Sanders to overcome.
In 2008, the only big states she lost to Obama were Illinois, Georgia, and North Carolina, but all 3 are likely to deliver big wins for Hillary this year.

Sanders will probably need to rely on smaller white states like VT, ME, WV, AK, UT, OR to gain ground.
Just a correction, Alaska is as white as Mississippi. Population Distribution by Race/Ethnicity | The Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation

Its people like this Sanders needs, but its incredibly tough to get the message out with so much money pouring into the political process to crowd out the people's candidates. How can we get the message out? SC is a really poor, rural state where people need help.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mbRRp3mJoks
 
Old 02-26-2016, 11:02 AM
 
11,181 posts, read 10,534,651 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PCALMike View Post
Clinton has been airing ads on urban radio stations for weeks now according to reports. They are all on board. Sanders simply does not have the money and few people know who he is and what he stands for in Georgia.
Sanders spent as much or more in NV as Clinton and that didn't work out for him, so his problems in states with diversified populations can't be chalked up to money.
 
Old 02-26-2016, 11:10 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by biscuitmom View Post
Sanders spent as much or more in NV as Clinton and that didn't work out for him, so his problems in states with diversified populations can't be chalked up to money.
Clinton doesnt need to spend any money on name recognition. Its a huge advantage. Her super PACs can run the ads, while her campaign can focus on paid staffers and campaign infrastructure. Sanders has to not only pay for all the ads from his campaign coffers but all the campaign infrastructure too. 0.1% of the people in Nevada probably knew who Sanders was a year ago. He made immense progress in that state being 50 points behind and just lost by 5 points. Looking at national polls, he does just as well among hispanics as whites, actually he does slightly better among hispanics. He's also doing great among Asians and Native Americans. In Georgia, there was a poll that said he was tied with Clinton among hispanics and asians (15% of people in Georgia are hispanics or asians). He got crushed among African Americans though.
 
Old 02-26-2016, 11:39 AM
 
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Top Hispanic Democrat endorses Hillary Clinton - CBS News

Another endorsement!
 
Old 02-26-2016, 01:59 PM
 
Location: Denver CO
24,201 posts, read 19,215,171 times
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New Clemson University poll in SC. This is obviously an outlier but holy cow!

Quote:
The survey of likely voters showed 64 percent said they will vote for Clinton and 14 percent for Bernie Sanders.
Clinton will win by wide margin in South Carolina, Palmetto Poll shows | Clemson University News and Stories, South Carolina
 
Old 02-26-2016, 06:56 PM
 
Location: Minnesota
198 posts, read 259,503 times
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No one cares about politicians endorsing a candidate. That simply proves they think they are electable. Although at this point it's obvious HRC will easily win in SC, Nevada was contested so we'll see how the contest shapes out in the North. I don't think Bernie will win the nomination, but I do think someone sharing his beliefs could easily win in 8 years.
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