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Old 02-28-2016, 06:43 PM
 
684 posts, read 514,714 times
Reputation: 1050

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Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
Got to wonder about the credibility of a poll that says John Kasich would beat Hillary Clinton.

I think they were referring to a poll regarding trustworthiness and in that case heck even Bernie Madoff beats Hillary Clinton.

 
Old 02-29-2016, 11:05 AM
 
Location: Tennessee
37,803 posts, read 41,013,481 times
Reputation: 62204
The latest CNN/ORC poll:

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are poised to lead the nation's two major parties in this fall's presidential election, with a new nationwide CNN/ORC poll finding each well ahead of their closest competitors just as the race expands to a national stage. Trump has expanded his lead over the diminished field to capture the support of nearly half of Republican voters, while Clinton tops Sanders by nearly 20 points. On the Republican side, the new survey finds Trump's lead is dominant, and his support tops that of his four remaining opponents combined. The businessman tops his nearest competitor by more than 30 points: 49% back Trump, 16% Marco Rubio, 15% Ted Cruz, 10% Ben Carson and 6% John Kasich.

Well, now they can all drop out.

Trump, Clinton dominant as Super Tuesday looms - CNNPolitics.com

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/im....primaries.pdf
 
Old 02-29-2016, 11:38 AM
 
42,732 posts, read 29,878,374 times
Reputation: 14345
Quote:
Originally Posted by LauraC View Post
The latest CNN/ORC poll:

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are poised to lead the nation's two major parties in this fall's presidential election, with a new nationwide CNN/ORC poll finding each well ahead of their closest competitors just as the race expands to a national stage. Trump has expanded his lead over the diminished field to capture the support of nearly half of Republican voters, while Clinton tops Sanders by nearly 20 points. On the Republican side, the new survey finds Trump's lead is dominant, and his support tops that of his four remaining opponents combined. The businessman tops his nearest competitor by more than 30 points: 49% back Trump, 16% Marco Rubio, 15% Ted Cruz, 10% Ben Carson and 6% John Kasich.

Well, now they can all drop out.

Trump, Clinton dominant as Super Tuesday looms - CNNPolitics.com

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/im....primaries.pdf
These statistics didn't exist at the beginning of the campaign.

Which tells us that support during political campaigns shifts. It shifts quite a lot when there are a dozen or more people running for the same position. And when people start to drop out, it shifts again. It may shift again before the Republican convention. And after the convention, when we know who the nominees are, and who their running mates are, we shall likely still see shifting among likely voters.
 
Old 02-29-2016, 12:14 PM
 
9,576 posts, read 7,334,337 times
Reputation: 14004
Quote:
Originally Posted by LauraC View Post
The latest CNN/ORC poll:

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are poised to lead the nation's two major parties in this fall's presidential election, with a new nationwide CNN/ORC poll finding each well ahead of their closest competitors just as the race expands to a national stage. Trump has expanded his lead over the diminished field to capture the support of nearly half of Republican voters, while Clinton tops Sanders by nearly 20 points. On the Republican side, the new survey finds Trump's lead is dominant, and his support tops that of his four remaining opponents combined. The businessman tops his nearest competitor by more than 30 points: 49% back Trump, 16% Marco Rubio, 15% Ted Cruz, 10% Ben Carson and 6% John Kasich.

Well, now they can all drop out.

Trump, Clinton dominant as Super Tuesday looms - CNNPolitics.com

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/im....primaries.pdf
Don't tell dexter75 this, he still believes Trump is peaking at 35%!
 
Old 02-29-2016, 12:53 PM
 
Location: Tennessee
37,803 posts, read 41,013,481 times
Reputation: 62204
Quote:
Originally Posted by cjseliga View Post
Don't tell dexter75 this, he still believes Trump is peaking at 35%!
I won't tell him if you don't.
 
Old 02-29-2016, 01:12 PM
 
4,078 posts, read 2,339,730 times
Reputation: 1395
Quote:
Originally Posted by cjseliga View Post
Don't tell dexter75 this, he still believes Trump is peaking at 35%!
...and new polls today have Hillary easily beating Trump in MI, another important state this year. Doesn't matter, even if Trump wins the GOP nomination (which he wont) he will get buried in the general.
 
Old 02-29-2016, 02:05 PM
 
Location: Pilot Point, TX
7,874 posts, read 14,179,752 times
Reputation: 4819
The Republican Party has created a Frankenstein, and Frankenstein is going to give the doctor a wedgie.
 
Old 02-29-2016, 02:54 PM
 
Location: Bella Vista, Ark
77,771 posts, read 104,739,062 times
Reputation: 49248
Quote:
Originally Posted by cjseliga View Post
Don't tell dexter75 this, he still believes Trump is peaking at 35%!
whether anyone wants to believe this or not; these figures still depend on who is doing the poll and whether it is an internet poll or a random phone poll. No one is naïve enough not to realize short of a brokers convention Trump is looking pretty unbeatable, but the fact still remains, the majority of true Republicans can not stand the guy. And about as many don't believe he will accomplish even 25% of what he says he will.
 
Old 02-29-2016, 03:05 PM
 
9,576 posts, read 7,334,337 times
Reputation: 14004
Quote:
Originally Posted by nmnita View Post
whether anyone wants to believe this or not; these figures still depend on who is doing the poll and whether it is an internet poll or a random phone poll. No one is naïve enough not to realize short of a brokers convention Trump is looking pretty unbeatable, but the fact still remains, the majority of true Republicans can not stand the guy. And about as many don't believe he will accomplish even 25% of what he says he will.
I'm personally not a fan of polls (still don't understand why people love them so much, their purpose and how wrong they could be), and looking this far out at the general election is ridiculous, so much can happen and will over the next 8 months. And how many politicians even accomplish 10 or 15% of what they say they will before getting elected, let alone 25%. It's all about promising the moon right now (they all do it), then blaming someone or something else after they win and can't do what they promised, it happens every year in every election, big and small, the only difference is that the presidential election has a bigger magnifying glass than your local Podunk election.
 
Old 02-29-2016, 04:56 PM
 
Location: Pyongjang
5,701 posts, read 3,222,313 times
Reputation: 3925
Quote:
Originally Posted by dexter75 View Post
...and new polls today have Hillary easily beating Trump in MI, another important state this year. Doesn't matter, even if Trump wins the GOP nomination (which he wont) he will get buried in the general.
Easily? She is up 5 with a MOE of 4 in a state that should be an easy win.
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