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Yes, Trump needed to win Iowa. For all his talk about winning, to start with a loss is a huge hit. Now, people in NH and SC will be taking a closer look at Cruz and re-thinking who they will support.
^^ Are you kidding me lol? Iowa does NOT change the national polling, ever. Cruz was always a top contender in Iowa and he NEEDED TO WIN. If Trump won tonight in Iowa, the entire Republican nomination race would have been flat out over. Trump will dominate in New Hampshire and South Carolina, the only way this becomes a "race" is if those low polling guys get out and that amount swings to Rubio.
Remember Rick Santorum won Iowa in 2012 and Huckabee won in 2008, how far did they get nationally ?
Chill out, Huckabee won in 08 Santorum in 12, this thing has just begun, McCain finish fourth in 08. Iowa is only first but not a real predictor of the nominee.
Why is Cruz winning such a HUGE shock? Iowa has always been Cruz country, Cruz NEEDED to win tonight, Trump didn't need to win.
Trump is still going to be the Republican nominee unless all of these low polling candidates like Bush, Kasich, Paul, Fiorina and Christie get out and all of those 1% - 2% amounts go to Rubio as the "standard Republican candidate". If that happens BEFORE New Hampshire and South Carolina are done, Rubio could become a serious contender.
They will get their marching orders to drop out and Rubio will take those numbers and boy does that suck. Why folks want a candidate who is bought and paid for, I just have no idea. Status quo, status quo.
Mark my words. I got a Bernie sticker on my car and I would like to see him raise hell with our masters, but it is not going to happen. I am a realist.
Regardless if you favor Clinton or Sanders, or hell even if you are supporting a Republican, no matter how this turns out this is pretty eciting to watch if your a political geek.
Actually, you have it exactly backwards. The only reason that Trump had a chance to win was because there were so many candidates. If it had been just Cruz, Trump and Rubio in the race, the votes of the other candidates would have very largely consolidated behind Cruz and Rubio, with Trump finishing a distant third.
This is the same reason why he almost certainly cannot win the Republican nomination, by the way. It is not about first past the post. It is about accumulating 50%+1 of the total delegates. Trump does not really appear to be in a position to accomplish that.
because as Iowa goes, so goes the rest of the country
Well, Trump, you yourself asked "how stupid are the people of Iowa?"
Now you know! Heee heee!
Now let's hope Cruz does a nosedive in New Hampshire; not so many religious morons to pander to in the Northeast.
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