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Here is one "probability" for you.... There are still 3 months left until election day. That is a WHOLE lot of time for Trump to continue to stick his foot in his mouth (something he does 5.6 times a day........6.8 on the weekends). If there are Los Vegas odds on whether Trump will do something really stupid again, I would take that bet.
The man simply has zero self control and his feathers get ruffled very easily. He is like an angry 7 year old and stomps and holds his breath any time someone disagrees with him. Just the guy we want with the nuclear codes, isn't it ?
(If he does win, I bet they only pretend to give him he real codes........no sane person would give this idiot access to the REAL ones !)
they probably polled 1,393 people who attended the democratic convention.
Or, got the call list for Obamaphones.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SharpshooterTom
Not if he spends the next two weeks fighting with the Khans, which it seems he wants to do.
Others are coming out to clarify that "situation". Sadly, in trying to move the cause of Islam to all corners of the world and there is info coming out to show where the heart of the father lies and why he would be speaking referenced in another thread here at C-D.
So, don't worry about Trump. This was, after all, just one poll and a small sampling. I thought it was interesting that only about 82% said they were definitely voting of those polls. I mean, if you aren't going to vote, your opinion counts for, well, nothing.
This CBS poll does not show the demographics of those polled. So, no idea if they did the sketchy thing of getting +50% more Dems.
Pollsters apply weighting to polls to ajdust for differences in demographics of those polled versus what's expected on voting day. They all use weighting for this when needed and it's accepted and normal. Therefore,they don't have to have exact counts of demographic group responses in the poll; weighting makes up for it. Some poll results show the weighting used (if they used weighting for that group). A pollster wouldn't be in business if they didn't use proper weighting methods. It's pollster 101 basics.
Still unsure - google something like: pollster weighting how does it work
Back to the CBS Poll. Here is shows how many Dems, Repubs,Inds were polled. There are several other polls in the same time period with similar results.
(If [Trump] does win, I bet they only pretend to give him he real [nuclear] codes........no sane person would give this idiot access to the REAL ones !)
If Hillary wins, she'd likely sell the nuclear codes to one of her Clinton Foundation foreign government mega-donors.
The Wall Street Journal reported last year that the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia had donated between $10 million and $25 million to the Clinton Foundation since it was created in 1999.
Problem with the Donald is he is just too obvious about satiating his own colossal ego, why does he feel the need to put his name on everything should be a clue.
Hes a big time Charley who with no political experience who tells us he going to fix everything, yeah sure you will Don.
He's enjoyed life as an uber rich person all his life and hasnt a clue what its like to be a normal working American, he's used to people saying how high on the way up when he says jump.
He's real good at calling people childish names and telling us how he will tell the rest of the world how its going to be.
in a nutshell=
psy·cho·sis
noun
noun: psychosis; plural noun: psychoses
a severe mental disorder in which thought and emotions are so impaired that contact is lost with external reality.
The type of methologies used in this poll were perfectly fine with the Trump supporters here last week, and the results of last week's poll were thought to be highly predictive of the actual election outcome.
But now, not so much.
How about some logical consistency? Too much to ask?
I remember how W-R-O-N-G all the polls were that Obama would lose in 2012, we see how that went! The media thinks they can make it happen just by printing it. Just wait and see is the attitude to have.
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