Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
Hmmm.............. I see a 274 vote number for Hillary, as Iowa, Nebraska, Ohio, NC, and FL will go to Trump. That would be a narrow victory for Hillary. But, of course, predictions are a bunch of crap as no one really knows what will happen for sure.
If CO or NV goes to Trump, he wins.
Today's RCP averages
Iowa Trump +3.7
Nebraska not in play, no idea why you listed it, it's a red state
Ohio Clinton +.5
NC Clinton +2.5
Florida Clinton +2.7
CO Clinton +7
NV Clinton +1.4
Wishful thinking isn't the same thing as polling numbers
Iowa Trump +3.7
Nebraska not in play, no idea why you listed it, it's a red state
Ohio Clinton +.5
NC Clinton +2.5
Florida Clinton +2.7
CO Clinton +7
NV Clinton +1.4
Wishful thinking isn't the same thing as polling numbers
I think the numbers are going to look even better for Hillary by the end of the week - esp. if, as expected, more tape emerges of Donnie's "locker room talk" and perhaps even worse.
I wouldn't be surprised if Iowa went for Hillary.
But yes, Drumpf will lose by a big margin; over 100 electorals and millions of votes.
Trump's base of support is in northern Florida, where he leads 60 percent to 39 percent. Clinton enjoys strong support in southern Florida, where she leads 47 to 38 percent, and in the central part of the state, which breaks for her 57 to 36 percent.
.... just before the last election that Mitt was up by a couple of points on Obama. But a couple of days later he was many points down in the actual election.
I think polls, for the most part, are a waste of time.
with the exception of a couple quick blips in october ( .7 and .4 ) obama consistently lead in the RCP average.
Polls~funny you should mention them.
Yesterday on TV they were addressing polls and said that just before the last election that Mitt was up by a couple of points on Obama. But a couple of days later he was many points down in the actual election.
I think polls, for the most part, are a waste of time.
At least in some 3 weeks I won't want to listen to all the crap that I have been subject to for the last few years!
In most years, the early-October polls were pretty close to the mark, with a correlation of +0.96 between the polls and the final result. Ten of the 16 elections featured errors of 3 percentage points or less, and in all but three campaigns, the polls were within 5 percentage points of the final outcome. Even in 2012, when Mitt Romney closed his deficit against President Obama after the first debate, the polls at this point still showed Obama leading. At this point in the election cycle, the average error of polls for all elections is just 3.3 percentage points (much lower than the 4.7-point error we found for just after the conventions), and every candidate who’s been ahead in the popular vote in mid-October went on to win the election.
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
