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"The Primary Model" batting 5 for 5 since 1996 predicts the probability of a Trump win to be 87% to 99%. The Primary Model
You realize that prediction was made in March? The amount of things that have happened since then are staggering. For you to trot that out is just embarrassing.
It is complete crap. I can't believe anyone takes that poll seriously anymore, after their methodology has been exposed and dissected. It's so bad it literally doesn't count.
Rasmussen uses a methodology that gives them a strong GOP house effect, largely because the way they weight "likely voters" heavily selects middle-aged whites (if I recall correctly.) IBD is also known for a consistent republican bias. Given that the overwhelming consensus of every other poll in the country has Clinton ahead by about 3 lightyears, I'm not sure a couple of outliers that have traditional GOP bias are really that much to shout about.
But hey, if you're a Trumphead these days, you have to cling to any straw that floats past.
LA Times has Clinton +1 today and IBD in a tie. They now have to look for different polls.
Is this what you are talking about but can't quite bring yourself to name it? Yes, there are all sorts of polls but my point is you'll never see CNN opening with the IBD poll but can go on and on with the discredited NBC/WSJ poll . Seeing polls flattening out, Hillary is now trotting out porn stars.
Didn't I hear Fox today, actually saying that trump was so far behind... and nobody has ever come back from that far behind?
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