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Old 02-05-2019, 10:33 PM
 
230 posts, read 94,904 times
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Republican Jason Rarick wins tight race for Minnesota Senate seat - StarTribune.com


Gives GOP a 3 seat majority so hopefully can stop any gun grabbing,higher taxes etc the leftist governor will want to jam through. Things are looking good in Minnesota! Congrats to the new State Senator!
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Old 02-05-2019, 11:06 PM
 
Location: West Palm Beach, FL
17,625 posts, read 6,914,908 times
Reputation: 16535
Great news. The upper Midwest will turn solidly Republican slowly but surely and this is more evidence of that.
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Old 02-06-2019, 01:22 AM
 
4,660 posts, read 4,121,936 times
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In the last six months, we have seen prominent Dems openly justify infanticide, refer to ICE agents as Nazis, advocate for the end to medical insurance, flip on securing the border, call it "immoral" to be a billionaire, apologize for "cicgender privilege," outright and obviously lie about a Supreme Court nominee, suggest a 70% tax on high income earners, and continue to push an increasingly foolish Russia investigation, which is really an investigation of nothing at all.

Who do these people think that their constituency is going to be outside of New York and California?
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Old 02-06-2019, 05:49 AM
 
Location: Caverns measureless to man...
7,588 posts, read 6,630,428 times
Reputation: 17966
Quote:
Originally Posted by RowingFiend View Post
Great news. The upper Midwest will turn solidly Republican slowly but surely and this is more evidence of that.
LOL!!! Yeah, sure, the Republican juggernaut is just steamrolling through the Upper Midwest, alright! That is, if you don't count the 19 seats the Democrats flipped in the Minnesota legislature 2 months ago to retake control of the House.

Might want to do a little research into the larger picture next time, before you crack that bottle of champagne.
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Old 02-06-2019, 05:56 AM
 
Location: OH->FL->NJ
17,005 posts, read 12,595,161 times
Reputation: 8925
Simple fact.

In a neutral district map, the GOP has a natural advantage. Dems tend to cluster together in urban districts and win by larger margins than most republican districts. Thus the Dems waste votes.

Is MN trending GOP? I dunno.
I believe WI is strongly. MI weakly. OH weakly. IA weakly. MO is getting MORE GOP.
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Old 02-06-2019, 07:03 AM
 
52,431 posts, read 26,636,151 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ottomobeale View Post
In a neutral district map, the GOP has a natural advantage. Dems tend to cluster together in urban districts and win by larger margins than most republican districts. Thus the Dems waste votes.
This was a statewide election. Districts are irrelevant.



But if Minnesota turns red, it's a devastating blow to the Democrat running for the 2020 Presidential election.
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Old 02-06-2019, 07:23 AM
 
Location: OH->FL->NJ
17,005 posts, read 12,595,161 times
Reputation: 8925
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
This was a statewide election. Districts are irrelevant.



But if Minnesota turns red, it's a devastating blow to the Democrat running for the 2020 Presidential election.
I was just pointing out that in a neutral non gerrymandered map, the GOP will likely win a bit more in any state due to the distribution of GOP votes.

I dunno. NC is trending blue, slowly tho I think 2024 is more the issue.
GA is trending blue tho I think 2028 is the first hint of purple let alone blue.
TX might be light red by 2028 and purple by 2032.

States change over time.
Trends can change also.
These are my guesses. I loathe both parties so not my wish either way. Just my observations.
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Old 02-06-2019, 07:57 AM
 
Location: West Palm Beach, FL
17,625 posts, read 6,914,908 times
Reputation: 16535
Quote:
Originally Posted by ottomobeale View Post
I was just pointing out that in a neutral non gerrymandered map, the GOP will likely win a bit more in any state due to the distribution of GOP votes.

I dunno. NC is trending blue, slowly tho I think 2024 is more the issue.
GA is trending blue tho I think 2028 is the first hint of purple let alone blue.
TX might be light red by 2028 and purple by 2032.

States change over time.
Trends can change also.
These are my guesses. I loathe both parties so not my wish either way. Just my observations.
I agree that states can change. I fondly remember reading all those laughable posts about the so-called "Blue Wall."
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Old 02-06-2019, 09:25 AM
 
11,988 posts, read 5,295,922 times
Reputation: 7284
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
This was a statewide election. Districts are irrelevant.



But if Minnesota turns red, it's a devastating blow to the Democrat running for the 2020 Presidential election.
State senate districts aren’t statewide.

Your handler in St. Petersburg needs to do a better job of prepping you.
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Old 02-06-2019, 11:58 AM
 
2,973 posts, read 1,975,653 times
Reputation: 1080
Actually I suggest people check the 2018 house race results
The state senate race GOP flipped yesterday was actually part of 8th district at federal congressional level and it flipped to GOP in the 2018 elections
But, there were also other area that flipped to the dems (congressional district 2 and 3)

Overall the state didn’t trend GOP if you compare statewide races by comparing performances of Klobuchar (24%) and Walz (11%) in 2018 and Obama in 2008 (10%) or 2012 (8%)
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