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Old 04-04-2019, 07:49 AM
 
8,316 posts, read 3,938,470 times
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Does Trump really want to get re-elected? You have to ask yourself this question when you watch his strategy going into his last two years.

Trump continues to play hard to his base. Most President's after the mid-term are trying to find common ground beyond their base. In other words looking for opportunities to unite rather than divide.

Trump barely squeaked out a victory in 2016, and going into 2020 with the same hardline populist approach is a real risk. Seems like Trump is more interested in receiving the adulation of his base at rallies than he is in getting re-elected.
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Old 04-04-2019, 07:55 AM
 
8,886 posts, read 4,594,564 times
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Old advice - "dance with who brung ya"
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Old 04-04-2019, 08:03 AM
 
5,284 posts, read 6,223,341 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GearHeadDave View Post
Does Trump really want to get re-elected? You have to ask yourself this question when you watch his strategy going into his last two years.

Trump continues to play hard to his base. Most President's after the mid-term are trying to find common ground beyond their base. In other words looking for opportunities to unite rather than divide.

Trump barely squeaked out a victory in 2016, and going into 2020 with the same hardline populist approach is a real risk. Seems like Trump is more interested in receiving the adulation of his base at rallies than he is in getting re-elected.

Bush in '04 specifically went after his base and used a slew of ballot initiative in swing states to activate even more conservative voters- this was probably what won Ohio. He did also have higher favorability among Hispanics and AAs to help him but he still ran a base election.


In 2012- Obama ran a similar campaign with the caveat that he frequently showed up in Red areas to campaign. He was not trying to win those areas but to mitigate his margin of loss.


Like Bush and Obama- much of Trump's success will come down to opponent. I'm positive Trump will hold a similar number to 2016 (which was 46%.) The question is if the Dem can improve Hillary's 48% take or spread those votes more advantageously.


I think Trumps biggest room for growth will be among the social conservatives who did not like his personal conduct but are thrilled with his judicial nominees.
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Old 04-04-2019, 08:06 AM
 
20,187 posts, read 23,875,496 times
Reputation: 9284
Quote:
Originally Posted by GearHeadDave View Post
Does Trump really want to get re-elected? You have to ask yourself this question when you watch his strategy going into his last two years.

Trump continues to play hard to his base. Most President's after the mid-term are trying to find common ground beyond their base. In other words looking for opportunities to unite rather than divide.

Trump barely squeaked out a victory in 2016, and going into 2020 with the same hardline populist approach is a real risk. Seems like Trump is more interested in receiving the adulation of his base at rallies than he is in getting re-elected.
Democrats have a hard time understanding that he is doing what he promised to do and continues to do so... I guess liberals are used to lying to get elected strategy... Which is what all their nominees are doing except Sanders...
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Old 04-04-2019, 08:37 AM
 
Location: Cape Cod
24,516 posts, read 17,271,978 times
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What can Trump really do at this time but play to his base and watch the Democrats fight among themselves by trying to out pander and out Lefty each other.

Trump should sit back and watch the circus unfold and when the cream of the crop rises to the top... is that a good way to describe it or should we say the one with the most radical ideas, plans to hand out free stuff and one that is androgynous enough in mind and spirit in order to appeal to the most voters is bundled up in a highly processed politically correct well spun package emerges?



We are still 2 years away. Trump needs to make good on some of his pledges because we cannot have some whacko extreme Lefty taking over.
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Old 04-04-2019, 08:41 AM
 
Location: NE Mississippi
25,595 posts, read 17,329,689 times
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Must seem confusing to Democrats, but Trump is interested in what is best for the country, not him. He, personally, was better off before becoming President - the same as much of his staff.
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Old 04-04-2019, 10:18 AM
 
Location: The Republic of Gilead
12,716 posts, read 7,825,996 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Listener2307 View Post
Must seem confusing to Democrats, but Trump is interested in what is best for the country, not him. He, personally, was better off before becoming President - the same as much of his staff.
Trump is interested in solidifying white fundamentalist Christian power in this country in the face of changing demographics. That's it and that alone is why Trump is so popular.

I don't think he's a shoe-in for re-election but I think it's possible. Trump's base is a true force to be reckoned with.
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Old 04-04-2019, 10:25 AM
 
52,430 posts, read 26,678,767 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GearHeadDave View Post
....
Trump barely squeaked out a victory in 2016, and going into 2020 with the same hardline populist approach is a real risk. Seems like Trump is more interested in receiving the adulation of his base at rallies than he is in getting re-elected.
Silly post of the day. i.e. Democrat in denial.
Quote:
Originally Posted by bawac34618 View Post
Trump is interested in solidifying white fundamentalist Christian power...
ditto.
And you guys wonder why Trump wins. LOL

Hint go look at the crazed party that you support. i.e. World ends in 12 years, Jussie Smollett, illegal aliens, seize guns from law abiding citizens, no hamburgers, ***** hats, and russian bogymen. Kamala is right. There's some insanity at play.
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Old 04-04-2019, 11:19 AM
 
8,316 posts, read 3,938,470 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mrpeatie View Post
Bush in '04 specifically went after his base and used a slew of ballot initiative in swing states to activate even more conservative voters- this was probably what won Ohio. He did also have higher favorability among Hispanics and AAs to help him but he still ran a base election.

In 2012- Obama ran a similar campaign with the caveat that he frequently showed up in Red areas to campaign. He was not trying to win those areas but to mitigate his margin of loss.

Like Bush and Obama- much of Trump's success will come down to opponent. I'm positive Trump will hold a similar number to 2016 (which was 46%.) The question is if the Dem can improve Hillary's 48% take or spread those votes more advantageously.

I think Trumps biggest room for growth will be among the social conservatives who did not like his personal conduct but are thrilled with his judicial nominees.
Seems reasonable. He won by 78,000 votes in three states that pushed the EC to him. Winning those again will be a challenge.

Turnout will also be a player. High turnout probably favors Democrats. Recall that 50% of the voting public didn't bother to show up in 2016. Low turnout probably favors Trump.
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Old 04-04-2019, 11:23 AM
 
8,316 posts, read 3,938,470 times
Reputation: 10657
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
Silly post of the day. i.e. Democrat in denial.ditto.
I'm an independent. And not in denial. Trump BARELY won in 2016, that is obvious to everyone. 78,000 votes in three states swung the EC to him. And by popular vote he was behind. It isn't a matter of debate. Hardly a slam dunk win.
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