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If Marshall is the nominee, the race is basically safe Republican. If Kobach is the nominee, it would be closer, but I think he would still win. Trump won Kansas by 20 points in 2016. Even if he only wins it by like 15 against Biden, can a Democrat really do 16 points better than Biden in the state? In 2016 all the Senate races went the same direction as the Presidential ones. I think Kobach would do worse than Trump if he is the nominee, but will probably win.
".....in June 2017, when Kobach, in the name of the commission, demanded voluminous voter data from all 50 state-election officials, including Social Security numbers, party registration, and voting history. This came as a surprise to Dunlap and other commissioners, who’d reminded Kobach on a conference call just the day before how zealously secretaries of state protected that data.
Even officials from Trump and Kobach’s own party saw the dangers in handing over such personal information. “They can go jump in the Gulf of Mexico,” replied Mississippi Secretary of State Delbert Hosemann, a Republican, to Kobach’s request."
I wonder if this disastrous commission will be brought up if Mr. Kobach receives the nomination?
Bad news for Kansas republicans, a new civiqs poll has Kobach up by double digits, 11 points in a poll conducted over the weekend. Also the poll puts Kobach up against Democratic frontrunner Bollier, Bollier leads Kobach by 1%
Weird thing about Kansas though. Kobach lost the gubernatorial election to a Democrat by 5 points. I don't know if that would have been different if there wasn't a third party candidate involved.
If that means Kobach lost because he is a flawed candidate, he might not fare very well in this Senate race either. Personally, I think Kobach will win the senate seat. I doubt Kansas voters will split their ticket between a Republican president and a Democratic senator. So, I expect Kobach to win.
I don't expect to do as well in 2020 as he did in 2016 because now they know his downside. Since he lost the governors race why would you expect this to be different with his baggage. The problem is that he is the money raiser of the two but as we have seen funding doesn't translate into victory. Many senate races look like they will be close, quite a change from last year.
I don't expect to do as well in 2020 as he did in 2016 because now they know his downside. Since he lost the governors race why would you expect this to be different with his baggage. The problem is that he is the money raiser of the two but as we have seen funding doesn't translate into victory. Many senate races look like they will be close, quite a change from last year.
Kobach has built a big out of state political name for himself, carried the very right win label, he is nationally known for good or worse, has been on Fox News quite a bit, & has a really good fundraising network.
If he was more moderate & less direct with his comments & views, he easily would have been the Governor.
If he was more moderate & less direct with his comments & views
i.e., if Kobach would just stop being himself and hide his bigotry from public view. Yeah, I guess that would probably guarantee him a win, true. Americans, including Kansans, have a short memory, and 5 moths is an eternity.
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