[logybogy]

This is a storm that everyone in Florida needs to watch. It's still too early for the models to lock in on a solution but they have been trending south and west. The trend isn't good.

[BucFan]

Wouldn't make any big plans this coming weekend, FL....unless she decides to take a strong right or left turn.

[LKJ1988]

Bring it on. Nice to see a state crossing storm ,like we had in 04 with jean and Francies or whatever they were called. Nothing lites my fire like a cane coming my way. Just weaken it to a Cat 1 and enjoy some 70mph wind and rain. All depends on a low well to our northwest and the high that is well out at sea 2331 miles northeast of FL. If the low digs down to the south it will pull the storm more to the north, if the high sinks south and builds in it would push it more to the west. And under the perfect set up it could pass just north of Cuba and take a hard right. Remember, upper level sheer in the south part of the gulf will help reduce the power of the storm at this time. But i would not worry about a thing for another 5 days. It is all up to the upper levels on how it steers this storm.
Worst case it gets south of FL and the upper level dig down and the upper level sheer goes away and allows for great outflow and exhaust that would allow the storm to blow up in power in under a days time to a super Cat 5 with gust to 220mph+ making landfall just north of Tampa bay. But don't count on anything at this time as it is way toooooo early to know what the upper levels have in store for us.

[markjames68]

And if it passes over Hispaniola getting shredded in the process. The next few days are going to be interesting.

[BucFan]

Originally Posted by markjames68

And if it passes over Hispaniola getting shredded in the process. The next few days are going to be interesting.

I swear the Caribbean gets screwed every summer by the big storms.......

[LKJ1988]

Originally Posted by markjames68

And if it passes over Hispaniola getting shredded in the process. The next few days are going to be interesting.

That could happen. But i see changes down stream 3000+ miles west of FL It all depends on timing. There could be a big change in foward speed a few days away if it gets north west of cuba and could even stall out and another upper level low system could pick it up. But lets wait it out till mid week and i will have a update with that system west of cali that could change everything.It all depends on timing my friends. This could be the end for parts of FL as we know it or it could be a complete miss sis.

[LKJ1988]

Originally Posted by BucFan

I swear the Caribbean gets screwed every summer by the big storms.......

Not true by a long shot.

[James Bond 007]

Latest GFS.







About the worst possible scenario for Florida you could imagine. Covers pretty much the whole state!

[LKJ1988]

We can use the rain jane. Got 2" from last Oct to May of this year.

[Pincho-toot]

As long as it doesn't hit Texas again. They don't need desserts after Harvey. Florida deals with hurricanes much better.