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I expect Austin to hopefully have a metro of over 2 million. A city limit population of about 900,000. Hopefully they improve that joke of a rail system we have here and actually make it viable for everyday people. Other than that, I don't see TOO much changing.
To put this in perspective in the Carolinas, Wake County (NC) grew by more than the current total populatoin of Horry County in just the last decade.
That is mean.
Other cities could do the same to Raleigh-Cary.
Houston, Dallas and Atlanta's metro grew more last decade than the entire Raleigh metropolitan area population
Location: Cleveland bound with MPLS in the rear-view
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Most places in this country won't change a ton in the next ten years, mainly because consumer spending and government spending will be much lower compared to most decades. I expect very small change.
I don't expect to see any massive changes in the Bay Area. Maybe a little shifting of demographics, but its already a pretty development, densely populated area. Maybe a little more "infilling" of vacant lots or small undeveloped spots within the cities and suburbs. More gentrification of the older areas (San Francisco, Oakland, Berkeley).
Most places in this country won't change a ton in the next ten years, mainly because consumer spending and government spending will be much lower compared to most decades. I expect very small change.
I disagree. Many metros will be stagnant while others will explode. When we look back, this decade will be no different than the previous one.
Although hi-tech is recovering now, prices are so high real-estate-wise in Silicon Valley that I foresee it growing by about 20% maximum, basically more of the same, more crowded but not any land being cleared for the purpose (there ain't none left) of accomodating newcomers.
That's all predicated on IF Congress gets a budget passed and no default, which I am not holding my breath on. If the default happens, I foresee a negative growth of 25%.
My city doesn't grow very quickly. (It went from about 80k in the 80s to about 120k now). However, There has been an increasing influx of peope to the area as new more trendy stores and new urbanist projects have begun making their presence felt. Local and national companies with branches in the area are hiring at an impressive clip, there is a small tech sector beginning to form, and unemployment is pretty low relative to the state and the Us. I think this may lead to an increase in the growth rate and possibly close to 140k people in 10 years. The overall metro including surrounding parishes is about 550k, so I think it could break 600k by then. It is separate from Baton Rouge to the east by a large swamp and to the west is Lake charles, with Houston 4 hours away, so that isn't a significant influence on the region. Lafayette/Acadiana is poised to grow.
I see where I live (St. Louis area) having several possibilities. The city core is likely to stay like it has and be similar to Pittsburgh in terms of addition by subtraction. (meaning population loss but its where people moving out are less educated and poorer than those moving in, and gentrification causing some population loss too due to smaller household sizes and combining residential lots) Also of note is due to age of peopulation and rate of growth, it will still grow slowly but total workforce age population will start to decline, which could late in the decade create employee shortages. This could also be the decade where Hispanics actually become noticed here due to as of now having only about 2-3% of metro population.
National trends is going to depend on economic issues. If a so-so to bad economy is dominant this decade, immigration will be very slow and the risks increase for a rise in crime and/or racial tensions. The latter two could kill urban redevelopment and will cause sprawl to be more prominent regardless of economics of it, since it will be based on things that would overrule concerns along with now people telecommute or jobs leave cities for suburbs this time if it happens.
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