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i have been in every down turn and crash since 1987 ..this is all normal for funds and long term they have always come back stronger and stronger ....
investing in equities should be investing for decades . even at 65 you have money that wont be used to eat for 20-30 years . typical accumulation stages span decades .
the risk is actually betting against it . for a long term investor , trying to mitigate temporary short term dips tend end up permanently hurting long term gains . there is little logic to it .
Last edited by mathjak107; 01-11-2019 at 02:28 PM..
So, it might be worth it to sacrifice some gains to prevent massively losing your shirt.
I think all of us would willingly sacrifice some gains to avoid losing our shirts. But, that brings us right back around to the question of when to cash out. Other than gut feeling what is the signal to cash out? What is the signal to jump back in? The odds of getting the timing right are overwhelmingly against us.
If there is some system that accurately signals the sell and buy times I want to hear about it.
if any one could even guess the period to be out , not even the exact worst days , they would have a track record that eclipses even the most famous investors in history .
I would have to agree with the original poster that if you are making long term investment, I think what the market is doing current will be of little importance in 20 years. But with that, if you are trading and looking for investments in the short term these day to day fluctuation in the market can make for a nightmare. I think that a good place to start is how are investors feeling about the market in general, are they optimistic or pessimistic. I would have to say the say the answer is somewhere in the middle, so the knife could keep falling as more optimist become pessimists. Buying the bottom is never easy and arguably impossible, but what one can do is find an investment that they find suitable for a long-term pick and slowly enter the position. Right now, more and more buy opportunities are presenting themselves, and I am buying a little more on every down day working to reduce my cost basis.
compared to all those who bailed out in december and were writing about their big cash holdings , you don't see much about that since we are up over 3000 points in 3 weeks .
you have to wonder how many are still on the sidelines with prices now higher than they even bailed out at ?
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Phycological Cycle
