Quote:
Originally Posted by jasperhobbs
I don't see where annuities are a good idea at all.
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okay follow along .... keep in mind an spia today for a 65 year old is about 6300.00 a year .
you have a 50/50 mix ... equities /bonds and cash , 100k in each
you start spending down the bonds and cash to live .
you can see pulling 4% inflation adjusted , will spend the bond/cash side eventually down to zero and then equities have to be sold to refill . we could refill sooner but that changes nohing since it would just make refilling bonds and cash more frequently .
so the scenario is the 100k in cash and bonds is gone and now we refill the bucket to continue spending .
but now look .
we have our 50/50 portfolio but instead of bonds and cash we buy an spia paying 6300 for that 100k
the first thing you see is that in any case that 100k is gone eventually when we pull 4% inflation adjusted out of it ... it either gets spent to zero or it can buy an spia instead of spending the cash and bonds to zero . .
but that spia is paying out a 6.30% draw rate while your cash and bond side is producing far less .lets assume you draw only the same 4% of it ... what happens now is the bigger cash flow never goes to zero like your bonds and cash do . that means less equities need to be sold ....
that is where the power of an spia is . it allows less selling of equities , which are the portfolio's work horse .
you always have an income floor coming in so refilling takes less selling. so the spia alone likely is really a poor idea . but when combined with your own investing it serves a different purpose , which is allowing more of your equities to grow since less refilling of the spending bucket is needed each time . .
this strategy can become even more powerful when combined with permanent life insurance for the spouse instead of a joint annuity .
that life insurance is tax free .. no taxes no rmd's to a spouse at a time they are filing single .
huge advantage there ....if i leave my wife a million dollar ira she has no clue what she would have left to live on since she has no clue what she owes in taxes on the rmd's off in the future or what markets will do or where rates will be .
but if i spent some of that ira money on a single premium life policy it would cost no where near 1 million ... so i pay the taxes on the amount spent on the policy which is actually leveraged , and we take forever taxable money and make it never taxed money .
the kids inherit what is left in the ira's and the spouse gets 1 million tax free dollars .
so there is value in insurance products when used as a strategy and not in isolation .
just imagine the comprehensive package above with its investment capability , the floor of annuity income and the guaranteed tax free money to a spouse via life insurance .... think a down market would hurt as much or be as worrisome ?
in fact in 10,000 different scenarios run by dr wade pfau , the comprehensive package beat buy term and invest the rest 2/3's of the time assuming someone actually invested the rest . it took only the best outcomes for buy term and invest the rest to win over the comprehensive package which stood up to a far wider range of outcomes .