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Location: The place where the road & the sky collide
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Originally Posted by Tarheelhombre
Yes, it will be almost impossible to change Republican control of the state legislature this year. It will take a wave election in 2020 that will redraw districts after the census.
The best case scenario is if enough Democrats are elected to kill the veto proof majority with Cooper as governor. That will force moderation.
I think Trump will barely win North Carolina given that he had to receive a boost particularly in Charlotte due to the abysmal handling of the riots. Yes the North Carolina General Assembly will still stay in Republican hands though I predict that Governor McCrory will also barely win his reelection campaign.
I have to say I am also a Republican and would also like to see the NC General Assembly become more moderate particularly on the social issues so that we can get this state right back on track to where we were before the likes of HB#2 came into play.
Clinton has 46 percent and Trump 45 percent in a two-way contest, a Bloomberg Politics poll of the state’s likely voters found, even as Trump is boosted by a 26-point advantage among independents. When third-party candidates are included, Clinton has 44 percent to Trump’s 43 percent.
The strongest sentiment for repealing the bathroom law is among Democrats and those who lean that way and among those under age 35, with 74 percent and 72 percent favoring abolishment. Both men and women favor eliminating the law, although men are more divided (47 percent to 42 percent) than women (57 percent to 38 percent).
The U.S. Senate race is also tight, with Democratic challenger Deborah Ross 2 points ahead of Republican incumbent Richard Burr. In the gubernatorial race, Democratic challenger Roy Cooper has a 6-point advantage over incumbent Pat McCrory as local issues weigh on the state’s contests.
Elon has had some weird splits. They had previous polls showing McCrory beating Cooper while Ross beats Burr... when 90% of other polls show the opposite. Something seems funky about their sampling...
If Clinton wins by 3 points or more nationally, then I think dems will sweep all statewide races in NC. If Clinton wins by 1-2% nationally, I suspect the presidential race will be a coin-toss in NC, Cooper will still defeat McCrory, and Burr will hang on to his seat by a couple points. I would be surprised if Trump wins nationally at this point but if that happens, he'll obviously be winning NC. Same scenario for the governor's and senate races though with Cooper and Burr likely winning.
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