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Old 11-08-2014, 10:55 AM
 
79,907 posts, read 44,231,797 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hoonose View Post
Low interest rates are a prime inciter and mover of housing sales.

Few people bought houses in 1980 when mortgage rates hit 14%.

I know, I was there!
So was I. I bought my first house in Dec 1985. 9.9%
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Old 11-08-2014, 11:05 AM
 
18,805 posts, read 8,479,367 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pknopp View Post
So was I. I bought my first house in Dec 1985. 9.9%
I had a contract in 1980 with a custom house. If rates were 14 or above I could bolt. We ended up staying and signing at 14%. I converted to an arm the next year and rates dropped. We moved, rented out, then sold the house. Built another in 1984 with an ARM at 10%, rates dropped of course over the '80's and '90's. We still live there and its paid off.

If rates went to 10% on home mortgages today, many would bolt or worse.
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Old 11-08-2014, 11:07 AM
 
18,805 posts, read 8,479,367 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by middle-aged mom View Post
I did and had a 16.5% interest rate.

Exclusive of property taxes, I could buy the same house today and have a substantially lower monthly P&I Payment than I had 30+ years ago.
Whoa, worse than ours!

16% today and bye bye economy!

Or it would mean we were in the throws of some very serious inflation.
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Old 11-08-2014, 11:27 AM
 
79,907 posts, read 44,231,797 times
Reputation: 17209
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hoonose View Post
I had a contract in 1980 with a custom house. If rates were 14 or above I could bolt. We ended up staying and signing at 14%. I converted to an arm the next year and rates dropped. We moved, rented out, then sold the house. Built another in 1984 with an ARM at 10%, rates dropped of course over the '80's and '90's. We still live there and its paid off.

If rates went to 10% on home mortgages today, many would bolt or worse.
All despite you acknowledging that isn't what happened with high rates. I'm not even arguing they should be as high as in the early mid 80's. They shouldn't. I bought a house, you bought a house, mom bought a house......
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Old 11-08-2014, 11:32 AM
 
18,805 posts, read 8,479,367 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pknopp View Post
All despite you acknowledging that isn't what happened with high rates. I'm not even arguing they should be as high as in the early mid 80's. They shouldn't. I bought a house, you bought a house, mom bought a house......
It's never black or white. High rates, less borrowing, less building, fewer home buyers.

I knew no one else buying in 1980.

I knew a ton buying in 2004.

If rates were 10% today I have no doubts my local picture would be different than the boomlet we are currently seeing.
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Old 11-08-2014, 11:40 AM
 
79,907 posts, read 44,231,797 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hoonose View Post
It's never black or white. High rates, less borrowing, less building, fewer home buyers.
Few are borrowing now with historically low interest rates.

Quote:
I knew no one else buying in 1980.

I knew a ton buying in 2004.

If rates were 10% today I have no doubts my local picture would be different than the boomlet we are currently seeing.
There is no boom. Some areas are doing well like where the new fracking businesses have moved in but with the wages that comes with those jobs a higher interest rate isn't going to stop them.

Big dollar houses are doing well but that is because of the governments welfare programs for the markets. The government subsidizing high incomes homes is no better than when they were doing it for low income ones.
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Old 11-08-2014, 11:58 AM
 
18,805 posts, read 8,479,367 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pknopp View Post
Few are borrowing now with historically low interest rates.



There is no boom. Some areas are doing well like where the new fracking businesses have moved in but with the wages that comes with those jobs a higher interest rate isn't going to stop them.

Big dollar houses are doing well but that is because of the governments welfare programs for the markets. The government subsidizing high incomes homes is no better than when they were doing it for low income ones.
Things are picking up in areas I know. Locally, Phoenix, and some SoCal.

You suggest we should move to a 10% rate and help our senior savers.

I don't agree.
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Old 11-08-2014, 12:02 PM
 
79,907 posts, read 44,231,797 times
Reputation: 17209
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hoonose View Post
Things are picking up in areas I know. Locally, Phoenix, and some SoCal.

You suggest we should move to a 10% rate and help our senior savers.

I don't agree.
I already answered that. I don't know why I even bother when no one reads what you write anyway.
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Old 11-08-2014, 02:29 PM
 
Location: SE Arizona - FINALLY! :D
20,460 posts, read 26,340,545 times
Reputation: 7627
Quote:
Originally Posted by pknopp View Post
That is not how it's suppose to work. The markets were never intended to be a guaranteed return.
The markets have a "guaranteed return"?
Really?
REALLY?
Hmmmm....
And here I thought people LOST money in the 2008-2009 stock market crash.


Ken
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Old 11-08-2014, 02:42 PM
 
Location: SE Arizona - FINALLY! :D
20,460 posts, read 26,340,545 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pknopp View Post
Economist Thomas Piketty Explains Why Income Inequality Is Just Getting Started

This is not good for the long term health of a country.
That's probably true, but he doesn't blame the FED for it. I said "Prove the actions of the FED are hurting more people than it helps". Your link doesn't come CLOSE to doing that. The author's main claim seems to be that CAPITALISM generally leads to more income inequality - and that the time period from 1945 to 1980 was a period of UNUSUAL gains for the middle class - and that since that time we have returned to a MORE TYPICAL situation for a Capitalistic society (ie that the wealth gap widens over time).

Ken
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