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Old 07-27-2019, 09:03 PM
 
51,699 posts, read 25,995,509 times
Reputation: 37962

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If only 55% of voters turn out Trump wins.

If 60+% turn out Trump loses.
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Old 07-27-2019, 09:37 PM
 
Location: SE Arizona - FINALLY! :D
20,460 posts, read 26,402,528 times
Reputation: 7627
Quote:
Originally Posted by BlakeJones View Post
Please put more thought into your replies in the future. Of course republicans care about those issues, which was my point about how extra motivated republican voters will counter extra democrat voters outraged about trump. The main problem for the democrat side is they are concentrated in super majority states where going from 78% dem to 83% dem doesn't move the needle in the electoral college, but extra republican voters can actually lock in more swing states

But my prediction right now for 2020 is Biden beats Trump in a tight race, all after a meltdown by the liberal-socialist wing that Biden isn't radical enough. Of course if Biden has a heart attack and dies before then Trump would win reelection
PLENTY of thought in my replies. You seem to think that somehow all that Democratic enthusiasm is only in deep Blue states where Democrats would win anyway? WHY would any rational person think that?


OF the 4 generally Blue states that went for Trump over Hillary (barely, with a combined 70,000 or so majority for all those states COMBINED) - and are generally credited with putting him over the top in the EC, things went REALLY BAD for Republicans in 2018. Of those 4 critical swing states that gave Trump that win in 2016, only Ohio was good for the GOP in 2018. The rest were REALLY BAD for the GOP:

Wisconsin: Democrats swept Governor (tossing out GOP incumbent Scott Walker), the U.S. Senate position, the Attorney General position, the Secretary of State position, and the Treasurer position. In the heavily gerrymandered U.S. House races the GOP did keep their majority, but even there the Democrats crushed them in the popular votes (winning by nearly 8 points).

Michigan: Democrats took Governor (tossing out another GOP guy), winning by 10 points. They also held their Senate seat and took 2 more U.S. House seats. They also took Secretary of State, Attorney General and Lieutenant Governor. A total sweep

Pennsylvania: The incumbent Democratic Governor CRUSHED his GOP opponent by 17 points. They held their Senate seats and picked up House seats.

That doesn't bode well for Trump and the GOP in 2020.

Ken
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Old 07-27-2019, 11:14 PM
 
Location: A State of Mind
6,612 posts, read 3,696,751 times
Reputation: 6389
Quote:
Originally Posted by r small View Post
Right. Trump talking to the regular folks who can pay $1,000 a night to stay at the Trump Hotel.
Exactly. He cannot even relate to or would normally not associate with those who put him on a pedestal, those he just uses to create numbers for rallies, for their applause and accolades.
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Old 07-29-2019, 11:55 AM
 
29,614 posts, read 9,832,382 times
Reputation: 3495
Quote:
Originally Posted by In2itive_1 View Post
Exactly. He cannot even relate to or would normally not associate with those who put him on a pedestal, those he just uses to create numbers for rallies, for their applause and accolades.
You mean we can't all relate to having an affair with a porn star and paying her over six figures to keep quiet? I thought all American men had similar experiences. Can it be that Trump and me are really among the few? Are we not also all billionaires who got our start with millions from daddy?
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Old 07-29-2019, 12:49 PM
 
26,580 posts, read 14,514,958 times
Reputation: 7450
today's RCP average: 43.9% approval 53.8% disapproval


a mild drop in approval but a sharp hike in disapproval.
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Old 07-29-2019, 01:24 PM
 
Location: The 719
18,107 posts, read 27,585,519 times
Reputation: 17431
Trump 47%
Obama 46%
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Old 07-29-2019, 01:42 PM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,170 posts, read 51,463,345 times
Reputation: 28437
Quote:
Originally Posted by wrecking ball View Post
today's RCP average: 43.9% approval 53.8% disapproval


a mild drop in approval but a sharp hike in disapproval.
The disapproval numbers the past few days have been shocking - solidly in the double digits. I guess his racist attacks on "The Squad" did not go over too well with moderate voters. Moderates don't approve of a president who speaks like that.
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Old 07-29-2019, 01:43 PM
 
28 posts, read 10,295 times
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It will be 100% by the time he leaves office. He will make everyone fall in love with him. He is very seductive in this way. One can see this in his beautiful wives.
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Old 07-29-2019, 01:46 PM
 
26,580 posts, read 14,514,958 times
Reputation: 7450
Quote:
Originally Posted by McGowdog View Post
Trump 47%
Obama 46%

still cherry-picking rasmussen.


here's the RCP comparison:

obama 45.0 approval 49.3 disapproval spread -4.3%

trump 43.9 approval 53.8 disapproval spread -9.9%
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Old 07-29-2019, 02:00 PM
 
26,580 posts, read 14,514,958 times
Reputation: 7450
Quote:
Originally Posted by TexyD View Post
It will be 100% by the time he leaves office. He will make everyone fall in love with him.

his approval is currently about the same as when he took office ( 43.3 v 43.9 ).
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