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Trump needs to run his campaign on the economy improving and on track to being pre-covid while Biden needs to run on Healthcare and lowering medicare to 60yrs old. These should be their main campaign topics.
In battleground state polling, Biden’s ahead of Trump in the RCP averages for Arizona (47/44), Florida (48/45), Michigan (47/42), North Carolina (46.2/46.0), Pennsylvania (48/44), and Wisconsin (46/44). These are not big leads, but since Trump took all six of these states, which collectively award 101 electoral votes, in 2016, it’s an indication of the broad front on which the president is on the defensive.
In battleground state polling, Biden’s ahead of Trump in the RCP averages for Arizona (47/44), Florida (48/45), Michigan (47/42), North Carolina (46.2/46.0), Pennsylvania (48/44), and Wisconsin (46/44). These are not big leads, but since Trump took all six of these states, which collectively award 101 electoral votes, in 2016, it’s an indication of the broad front on which the president is on the defensive.
All states tRump won four years ago. All states he's desperately spending in to try to defend now.
In coming months, he'll look back at today as "the good times."
If Biden only leads by 3% in a state, Trump wins....
RealClearPolitics 2016, polling average the day before the election:
Wisconsin = Clinton +6.5 (Trump won by 0.7)
Pennsylvania = Clinton +2.1 (Trump won by 0.7)
North Carolina = Trump +0.8 (Trump won by 3.6)
Michigan = Clinton +3.6 (Trump won by 0.3)
Maine = Clinton +5.5 (Clinton won by 2.9)
Florida = Trump +0.4 (Trump won by 1.2)
RCP did not provide a polling average for Minnesota (which Clinton won by 1.5).
If Biden only leads by 3% in a state, Trump wins....
RealClearPolitics 2016, polling average the day before the election:
Wisconsin = Clinton +6.5 (Trump won by 0.7)
Pennsylvania = Clinton +2.1 (Trump won by 0.7)
North Carolina = Trump +0.8 (Trump won by 3.6)
Michigan = Clinton +3.6 (Trump won by 0.3)
Maine = Clinton +5.5 (Clinton won by 2.9)
Florida = Trump +0.4 (Trump won by 1.2)
RCP did not provide a polling average for Minnesota (which Clinton won by 1.5).
Only if you move the election up to right now.
tRump's bad numbers will only get worse going forward.
Trump really needs to do something about those suckerfish lips.
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