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ETA - sorry had to run for bit. Per the Pacific Researchitem linked as a tag along comment. Within the last economics department and closely associated professors I taught, a big public research university FWIIW, a huge/critically important benefactor asked the entire department who voted how/leaned which way? Among the professorship it was 42 to 2.
The Dem tent hasn't collapsed but Biden is leaking support with key voting blocs. If I recall Trump was predicted to win 15-16% of the Black vote in 2020. He got 12%. Today he's projected to win roughly 19-21%. If he wins 15-16% this should help him carry GA. If he also increases support with younger voters and Hispanics, this should put him over the top in most of the battleground states where he currently leads.
Toss in Kenndy, West and Stein on the ballot and this costs Biden 1-3%
President Biden enters the New Year with what looks like a losing campaign trifecta—dismal ratings from three groups critical to his re-election.
A Dec. 29 Suffolk University/USA Today poll found Mr. Biden drawing only 63% from black voters, down from the 87% he received in 2020. The same poll found he trailed Donald Trump 34% to 39% among Hispanic voters, who broke for Mr. Biden in 2020 by 65% to 32%. Among voters under 35, Mr. Trump leads 37% to Mr. Biden’s 33%. In 2020 Mr. Biden carried voters 18 to 29 by 60% to Mr. Trump’s 36% and 30- to 44-year-olds by 52% to 46%.
This survey isn’t an outlier. A Nov. 14 NBC poll put Mr. Biden’s support at 69% among black voters. Mr. Trump led the president 46% to 42% among voters 18 to 34. Weakness among these traditionally Democratic groups was why Mr. Trump led Mr. Biden in that NBC poll for the first time this cycle.
Similarly, an October New York Times/Siena College battleground-state poll found weakness in Mr. Biden’s support among blacks. He was at 71% vs. 22% for Mr. Trump. That’s nearly double the former president’s 2020 support. https://www.wsj.com/articles/can-eve...ion_lead_pos10
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