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Do you think Tesla will be able to bring the model 3 to market on time and on budget? With 400k preorders and counting it's going to be a minor miracle to me if they can deliver that in a couple years. It's a great problem to have though. Of course, it could turn into a nightmare if they aren't careful.
Yes. I also think you'll be waiting a few years if you are #400,000 in line. If you are in #400,000 in line, you'll likely be getting a nicer car than the 1st person in line, because Tesla improves/upgrades its cars every 12-18 months, even though they don't label them with different model years.
But if you are #400,000 and there is a delay, odds are you wont be seeing any tax incentives to lower the cost so it will have to be purchases at asking price. Remember, the magic number is 200,00 total Teslas sold in the USA and once that number is reached (Tesla is already half way there), the tax incentive timer starts clicking down.
i think i'm around 150k in line, rebate or not, if its going to take a few years then many of the features that differentiates Tesla today will not be relevant in 3 years, auto pilot, range, etc and i have a strong feeling i'll end up canceling. theres already a few makers on the market with good auto pilot, just a matter of time until electric is more pervasive and usable
Regardless if they can get the Tesla 3 on time or not it is still amazing what Tesla has done. They are the first successful new car company in something like 90 years? Now that's one hell of a feat.
Still the number of preorders for the Tesla 3 probably already surpasses the total number of cars Tesla has ever sold. It will be very interesting to see how they can ramp up production exponentially. Sounds like this is a job for Superman...or Elon Musk. Who may be Superman anyways.
Last edited by biggunsmallbrains; 04-25-2016 at 04:21 PM..
i think i'm around 150k in line, rebate or not, if its going to take a few years then many of the features that differentiates Tesla today will not be relevant in 3 years, auto pilot, range, etc and i have a strong feeling i'll end up canceling. theres already a few makers on the market with good auto pilot, just a matter of time until electric is more pervasive and usable
I have a reservation as well, but even if Tesla's technical innovations (including the supercharger network) are less relevant in 2 or 3 years, I'd still buy one over The Leaf 3.0 or Bolt 2.0 if buying a Tesla means I don't have to deal with a dealership.
I have a reservation as well, but even if Tesla's technical innovations (including the supercharger network) are less relevant in 2 or 3 years, I'd still buy one over The Leaf 3.0 or Bolt 2.0 if buying a Tesla means I don't have to deal with a dealership.
Plus the Model 3 looks 1000x better than both of those cars and they will never be able to compete with only minor design updates.
Yeah, that's pretty aggressive. If they can come close to pulling that off, I'd rate that as impressive as flying a rocket into orbit and then landing it on a barge in the middle of the ocean.
I love Elon Musk's strategy of setting overly ambitious goals in order to stay way ahead of the curve. This is just an example, but if the reasonable ramp goal was an annual production of 500,000 cars by 2020, why not set the goal of 500,000 by 2018 to motivate your team to crush projections and blow away analysts. The end result may very well be closer to 500,000 by 2019, but that certainly isn't a bad place to land as a result of a nice game of goal-setting inflation.
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