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View Poll Results: When do you think La Nina will happen?
Spring 2016 3 4.84%
Summer 2016 16 25.81%
Fall 2016 23 37.10%
Winter 2016-17 11 17.74%
After Feb 2017 9 14.52%
Voters: 62. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 06-11-2016, 07:19 PM
 
Location: Lizard Lick, NC
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Or we may have a La Nina with a +PDO. That's rare though

https://twitter.com/hepomodeler/stat...67643346731009
But it won't get stronger than weak. There has never been a moderate/strong Nina with a positive pdo.
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Old 06-11-2016, 07:24 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Also very interesting that the atmosphere is suddenly in a La Nina state! I thought that wouldn't happen until at least July!

https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/statu...10358956261376
Didnt realize there was a chart that measured the atmosphere momentum. How and what goes into that to show it and where? Just Pacific?

I wonder if thats why we had widespread 90s in U.S today and a crazy ridge coming next week. Dont think its coincidence. Maybe this is it. The turn into a torching summer. At least for central U.S it might. Maybe not northeast...yet.

The southeast ridge has been dead but if the central ridge is on fire then you can still see 90s like today in PA and the eastern U.S
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Old 06-11-2016, 11:03 PM
 
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Long range brings back warm weather on our coast (including balmy nights): looks like the flip might not be so sudden after all (When we get heat waves during La Niña summers, it's always dry heat with cool nights). No monsoons though

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La Nina coming 2016-2017...but when-sandiego.jpg  
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Old 06-12-2016, 04:46 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Also very interesting that the atmosphere is suddenly in a La Nina state! I thought that wouldn't happen until at least July!
Makes you wonder...
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Old 06-12-2016, 08:47 AM
 
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Equatorial SST are still in bouncing around positive neutral territory (have gone negative briefly). When do you think they will stay firmly below -0.5?

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La Nina coming 2016-2017...but when-elnino.jpg  
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Old 06-14-2016, 10:12 AM
 
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Maybe 1995 or 2007 La Nina pattern?

https://twitter.com/commoditywx/stat...50870538948610
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Old 06-14-2016, 10:41 AM
 
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https://twitter.com/jacobmeisel/stat...51801200496640
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Old 06-14-2016, 11:17 AM
 
Location: Leeds, UK
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Funny that the La Ninas of 1995 and 2007 were very similar but the summers of both years in the UK couldn't be more different if they tried. I guess the link between La Nina and weather in Europe is far from proven, if such a link even exists.
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Old 06-14-2016, 12:52 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dunno what to put here View Post
Funny that the La Ninas of 1995 and 2007 were very similar but the summers of both years in the UK couldn't be more different if they tried. I guess the link between La Nina and weather in Europe is far from proven, if such a link even exists.
I think that La Nina and El Nino have minimal teleconnections for Europe. Not to say no influence, just not a driver of your climate imo. You are at the mercy of the Atlantic (NAO phases short term, AMO phases long term), while the US has multiple teleconnections, some stronger than others depending on the region.

1995 was the hottest summer on record here, while 2007 was average. Note, 2007 had a very warm early autumn with multiple days above 30C in early October.
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Old 06-14-2016, 04:22 PM
 
Location: New York Area
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
1995 was the hottest summer on record here, while 2007 was average. Note, 2007 had a very warm early autumn with multiple days above 30C in early October.
New York was similar; 1995 was very hot but not a record, and 2007 featured a hot early fall, with temperatures around 30C on Columbus Day and the following week.
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