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Of course it’s going to drop south. Where else is it going to go?
Haha. Seems like thats the only option for it. It could stay over Northern Canada or retrograde west into western Canada toward Alaska. This would give the U.S ridge a chance to push north in central or eastern U.S bringing warmth.
If it drops to central or southern Manitoba/Ontario/Quebec, kiss early spring goodbye.
Lol. We'll have to see. Depends. Havent you had about normal temps recently? Or you just want extreme cold? Actually didnt you get below normal in October or November?
January has been above normal, we're now up to 17 consecutive days with precip and Vancouver hasn't recorded a freeze since Jan 3rd.
December was slightly below normal, however much of that was due to a temperature inversion for the first 1/2 of the month which brought persistent fog. We did get a bit of snow around Christmastime though, but other than that, not much in the way of winter weather this season.
Severe Drought continues to build in the the Southwest and south-central region. Amarillo, TX has no had measurable precipitation in three and a half months.
Severe Drought continues to build in the the Southwest and south-central region. Amarillo, TX has no had measurable precipitation in three and a half months.
Could this be the start of a major southern USA drought spanning from CA to FL?
Yeah, a pretty large area of drought has developed. Here's what the February outlook looks like.
Southern Louisiana has been getting plentiful rainfall lately, some coastal areas got excessive rainfall this past weekend. I've had close to normal rainfall this month, though September thru December was pretty dry, especially Sept & Oct.
This week another cold front coming across on Thursday. By Thursday night-Friday morning its at the coast and will drop another 1-3" at least from NYC northward. Light falling snow.
This frame is for Friday 7am (the precip intensity is the average for 6 hrs prior 1-7am)
Then... the one I'm really watching.
Sunday-Monday
This weekend the Jet stream should dig south again and depending where the right trough axis is, a storm will come up the coast!
This frame is for Monday 7am. Euro is west more (Rain for coast). Canadian is East more (more snow for coast).
Then...... Wednesday February 7th Jet stream doesn't dig as much but a storm comes from the base of the trough and heads off the coast for another coastal storm. Still a week away for this one and the previous 2 storms could alter this storms outcome.
Active Pattern
* Never forget its a matter of ~50 miles with center of storm that makes the difference between rain and big snows. You wont know exacts until 24-36hrs before and sometimes day of! Just look at the overall pattern and potential!
definitely more exciting than recent weeks. The mild weekends were nice but it's been rather dull otherwise. Tomorrow has rain in my forecast with some snow mixed in. Each of these storms should add up north. Here's Bretton Woods, at the base of the White Mountains around 1500 feet.
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