Georgia GOP senator Brandon Beach to run for 6th District seat (Atlanta: mortgage, homes)

[Pemgin]

Trump will still be president in 2020 so she's probably safe.

[Gulch]

Aside from his boneheaded insistence on creating the "ATL" for transit, I don't have much of an issue with him.

[arjay57]

Beach is strong on the religious liberty issue. He is also strong on the Second Amendment and will probably go after McBath on that.

[Forhall]

Originally Posted by arjay57

Beach is strong on the religious liberty issue. He is also strong on the Second Amendment and will probably go after McBath on that.

Not sure that will work so well. Thankfully District 6 is starting to become more progressive on and cultured as more out of staters move in. McBath basically won on gun control - many upper income parents with young kids in that district aren't interested in gun rights at the expense of their kids potentially getting shot up in school.

And religious liberty crap is even less relevant at the national level.

[Born 2 Roll]

Originally Posted by arjay57

Beach is strong on the religious liberty issue. He is also strong on the Second Amendment and will probably go after McBath on that.

Republicans are probably not just going to go after McBath on issues like Religious Liberty and (ESPECIALLY) the Second Amendment, but are most likely going to go after McBath for her support of Nancy Pelosi for U.S. House Speaker.

Republicans were effective in closely tying Jon Ossoff to Pelosi in the 2017 special election that Karen Handel won, and will most likely work to closely tie McBath to Pelosi who is a congressional figure that is 'Public Enemy #1' to many (if not most) Republican and conservative voters across the country outside of blue-leaning urban areas.

Republicans are also going to highlight and relentlessly attack McBath's support for gun control measures in a Georgia 6th Congressional District where conservative values (like fervent support for Second Amendment rights) have traditionally been regarded as being sacrosanct with most voters.

Republicans also are going to highlight McBath's status as a Democrat in a congressional district that has been overwhelmingly dominated by Republicans for almost all of the last 40 years until the 2018 election.

Republicans are going to attempt to make the case that Lucy McBath is an extremely liberal gun-control, Nancy Pelosi-supporting Democrat with serious questions about her residency who is completely out of place in a congressional district with such a strong legacy of supporting Republicans as the Georgia 6.

The GOP is basically going to say that McBath is a San Francisco-style liberal carpetbagger who supports Nancy Pelosi and wants to take away everyone's guns... And one should expect that the GOP is going to be a heck of a lot more forceful in attempting to make that case against McBath in 2020 than they were in 2018.

Originally Posted by Pemgin

Trump will still be president in 2020 so she's probably safe.

McBath's seat is anything and everything but safe going into the 2020 election cycle.

Whether or not Trump is still president in 2020, McBath is going to be exceedingly vulnerable and is going to have to work exceptionally hard to defend her seat and achieve re-election in a congressional district that the GOP thinks that controlling is their birthright.

Republicans are beyond furious about losing a congressional seat that they considered way beyond the reach of Democrats for 40 years and are determined to prove that McBath's victory in the 2018 congressional elections was a fluke.

In 2020, Republicans are going to throw everything (including the proverbial kitchen sink) at McBath who is going to have to be on top of her game if she hopes to retain that seat.

[arjay57]

Originally Posted by Born 2 Roll

In 2020, Republicans are going to throw everything (including the proverbial kitchen sink) at McBath who is going to have to be on top of her game if she hopes to retain that seat.

I wouldn't be shocked to see Newt himself wade into the fray. The Republicans could bring in other former 6th District reps such as Johnny Isakson, Tom Price and Karen Handel, all of whom were very popular. They might get Trump himself as well as other big hitters to come down here and campaign.

[Iconographer]

Originally Posted by Forhall

Not sure that will work so well. Thankfully District 6 is starting to become more progressive on and cultured as more out of staters move in. McBath basically won on gun control - many upper income parents with young kids in that district aren't interested in gun rights at the expense of their kids potentially getting shot up in school.

And religious liberty crap is even less relevant at the national level.

I was getting ready to post something to that very effect. Thanks.
McBath was on the right side of the gun control issue, and at the right time. Her message resonated with female voters, particularly mothers. It's what cinched the election for her.

[toll_booth]

Originally Posted by Iconographer

I was getting ready to post something to that very effect. Thanks.
McBath was on the right side of the gun control issue, and at the right time. Her message resonated with female voters, particularly mothers. It's what cinched the election for her.

And the fact that her stance on gun law reform came directly from personal tragedy in her own life. She didn't just hold her finger to the wind to see which way it was blowing.

[demonta4]

Originally Posted by markjames68

McBath has a shot for re-election, but she needs to treat her job seriously and expand her horizons beyond gun control. She also doesn’t have the luxury of a safe district that Ocasio-Cortez has. She has maybe 6-8 months to get her act together.

What’s with the constant mentions of AOC? Do you have an issue with her? I don’t see how a representative from Queens has anything to do with McBath.

[Born 2 Roll]

Originally Posted by demonta4

What’s with the constant mentions of AOC? Do you have an issue with her? I don’t see how a representative from Queens has anything to do with McBath.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez gets a lot of mentions from conservatives because she is seen by many (including many conservatives) as a much younger and much more attractive version of Bernie Sanders.

With her youth, attractive looks and Latino (Puerto Rican) ethnicity, AOC is viewed by many as someone who will be able to sell and maybe even advance many of the progressive/left-leaning policies (policies that many conservatives consider to be socialist) pushed by a figure like a Bernie Sanders in an American political scene that often has been dominated by more centrist and conservative/right-leaning politics.

There is a little bit (and even rising) fear factor amongst many conservatives that a figure like AOC (who is viewed by many as being a rising leader in the more progressive wing of the Democratic Party coalition) could be a signal of a widespread progressive backlash that could be brewing against the 'vulture capitalism' (the type of capitalism that many consider to be particularly exploitive of working-class and middle-class families) that has been an increasing feature of American life (and politics) over the last 40 years or so.

There is also some concern from some right-of-center circles that a figure like AOC could be a sign of a future widespread political and social backlash (led by the large Millennial generation) that could be brewing against the racist, sexist, bigoted, homophobic, mean-spirited social and political rhetoric and dogma of the Trump era.

The fact that a very progressive figure like AOC comes from a safe-Democratic congressional district in Queens, New York where she upended a senior member of the U.S. House Democratic leadership (longtime Democratic former Congressman Joe Crowley, who was 4th in line in the U.S. House Democratic leadership) in the Democratic primary, kind of adds to the fear factor from many conservatives.

AOC being from a safe-Democratic congressional district in Queens, New York where Republican candidates have no shot of winning means that it likely will be exceedingly difficult (if not almost completely impossible) for Republicans to challenge and attempt to derail the career of a rising ultra-progressive Democratic politician that potentially could be a very formidable presence on the American political scene for decades to come.

There is also some rising fear from some right-of-center circles, both here in Georgia and nationally, that the election of a decidedly left-of-center pro gun-control Democratic candidate like Lucy McBath in a Georgia 6th Congressional District that Republicans and conservatives have totally and completely dominated for the last 40 years was not a fluke and could be signs of a much deeper shift to the left that could be underway in Georgia politics (particularly in the long GOP-dominated Atlanta suburbs).

There is fear in some conservative circles that the election of a decidedly left-of-center pro gun-control candidate like Lucy McBath in 2018 was not a fluke, but potentially was the sign of more political shifts to come to the left-of-center in the traditionally GOP-dominated OTP Atlanta suburbs.

The possibility that the OTP Atlanta suburbs could be shifting hard to the left (and taking Georgia's GOP-dominated political scene with it) is a scenario that keeps many Republicans and conservatives, both in Georgia and nationally, awake at night.