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According to that excel document the New Orleans Metro is the 35th fastest growing which aint bad at 23,000 and 2% growth. New Orleans Metro also has the 2nd fastest growing parish(county) with population over 10,000 in US and the 9th fastest growing parish(county). The 2nd fastest is St. Bernard Parish and the 9th one is the actual city of New Orleans. I always take these numbers with a grain of salt since they are always different from when a real census is done but hey its still interesting.
Also the Philly MSA grew by ~21K; 10K of which were within the city borders; 50% of adds in the city may be a dynamic not seen in this MSA for 100 years
Location: The Greatest city on Earth: City of Atlanta Proper
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gnutella
Natural population growth is always overlooked. Many of the "Sun Belt" MSAs with lousy economies are still growing rapidly because of a large number of births.
I was just about to say that. Contrary to the popular myth, very little growth comes from people moving. That is why all of the top ten cities for growth are not in the Northeast, Rustbelt or greater Midwest: In addition to having large growing economies, they have the demographics to support massive population growth through births too.
That is why that though Atlanta, Miami, and Phoenix struggled with the recession the most out of that group of the top 10, the majority of their populace is still of birthing age. The three places (like all sunbelt metros) are also largely latino and/or african-american and huge immigrant populations. All three demographics continue to have large family sizes.
NYC and LA are an outlier here due to their size mostly, but they also have large populations of the above demographics with high birth rates.
I was just about to say that. Contrary to the popular myth, very little growth comes from people moving. That is why all of the top ten cities for growth are not in the Northeast, Rustbelt or greater Midwest: In addition to having large growing economies, they have the demographics to support massive population growth through births too.
That is why that though Atlanta, Miami, and Phoenix struggled with the recession the most out of that group of the top 10, the majority of their populace is still of birthing age. The three places (like all sunbelt metros) are also largely latino and/or african-american and huge immigrant populations. All three demographics continue to have large family sizes.
NYC and LA are an outlier here due to their size mostly, but they also have large populations of the above demographics with high birth rates.
Does the birth rate data exist somewhere; kind of an interesting dynamic
At some point as the demograhics age or birth rates slow the longer term trends could slow one would assume, not sure
Would also be interesting to see the growth rate among 18-65 yos in this context
Well from these numbers I found out that: a) Houston will have a hard time surpassing DFW because DFW gained more people this year. b) People slept on Miami and DC and thought they didn't have a chance of staying on top of Atlanta. c) Surprised that Atlanta didn't gain 100,000.
What I want to find out are the demographics of course. It will be interesting to see which race dominated the Southern metros' growth considering that their rescpective states passed these immigration laws.
Atlanta is growing a little bit more reasonably, but it's not all that different from to 2000-2010 rate (~100k/year vs 90k). Either way, a little bit of a breather will be nice. We gained 45k jobs last year, so it's nice to feel like we have the economic growth to support this population increase, which was not the case in the prior decade.
The elephant in the room at this point is MSA boundaries. Atlanta looks poised to add Hall County (population ~200k), which is currently part of the CSA but not MSA. Hall County certainly seems better-connected to Atlanta at this point than a bunch of others that are part of the MSA, such as Troup, Meriwether, and Dawson. Athens will likely be added to the CSA.
Of course, they will change the formulas so anything could happen.
This report isn't for "within" a year. It's for 15 months after the census was taken in 2010. This is the census report for growth between April 2010 and July 2011. For Atlanta as an example take that 90k and divide by 15, which is the number of months measuring growth (April 1, 2010- July 1, 2011) then multiply by 12 the number of months in a year and that's how much your metro is growing by a year. Atlantas growth is 72k in a year according to the census that's a 28% slowdown from the decade earlier
If the definitions don't change that much, DC MSA is poised to pass Philly MSA sometime this decade if the DC growth continues. 120,000 for DC is pretty impressive. DFW and Houston keeps on keepin on.
This report isn't for "within" a year. It's for 15 months after the census was taken in 2010. This is the census report for growth between April 2010 and July 2011. For Atlanta as an example take that 90k and divide by 15, which is the number of months measuring growth (April 1, 2010- July 1, 2011) then multiply by 12 the number of months in a year and that's how much your metro is growing by a year. Atlantas growth is 72k in a year according to the census that's a 28% slowdown from the decade earlier
You are corect
The 12 month growth is in the Excel link provided earlier
Here are the laregst MSAs
NYC +96K
LA +100K
Chi +32K
DFW +126K
Houston +110K
Philly +21K
DC +95K
Miami +92K
Atlanta +73K
Boston +32K
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