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Old 11-27-2013, 09:15 AM
 
10,007 posts, read 11,155,658 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mixum View Post
I said it in October... U could already see this was gonna be a warm non storm winter. My only hope is that the spring summer end up cold and balance it out

Geez.. one inside runner and the whole winter is shot. And we HAVE been colder than normal.

Oh and one more thing.

ITS NOT EVEN WINTER YET!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! It would ABNORMAL to snow this time of year. Give it a rest!

sorry for yelling.. OMG

 
Old 11-27-2013, 09:27 AM
 
754 posts, read 1,017,667 times
Reputation: 208
sometimes u have to use instinct......
 
Old 11-27-2013, 09:53 AM
 
10,007 posts, read 11,155,658 times
Reputation: 6303
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mixum View Post
sometimes u have to use instinct......

whatever.
 
Old 11-27-2013, 10:52 AM
 
2,601 posts, read 3,396,369 times
Reputation: 2395
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mixum View Post
sometimes u have to use instinct......
That's scientifically proven to be very effective for weather forecasting .lol
 
Old 11-27-2013, 11:45 AM
 
754 posts, read 1,017,667 times
Reputation: 208
cause all these maps and meteroligists are working out.......
 
Old 11-27-2013, 11:59 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,502 posts, read 75,260,686 times
Reputation: 16619
Posting this here too since the rain is not done. I got a months worth of rain in 24hrs but some interesting trends happening.

Quotes from meteorologist Steve D. Just fascinating stuff. Storm is well into New England but take a look at the precip shield to the south.

https://twitter.com/nynjpaweather

Precipitation shield appears to be growing from C PA down to VA. Interesting trends. .


Going to study upper level dynamics. Might be forming some stretching, deformation over the region.

Now the combination of a tight thermal gradient at 850 MB to the surface and upper level divergence had enhanced rising air over the region.

As a result lifting is becoming enhanced, the atmosphere is cooling, and the precipitation is intensifying.

This process eventually will cause all precipitation is turn over to snow and surface temps to crash below freezing.

Rain/snow line starting to push into NW NJ this hour. Should reach Philadelphia in 90-120 minutes.

All locations through CT and Long Island should have one more round of rain and snow through 10 PM.


 
Old 11-27-2013, 12:13 PM
 
10,007 posts, read 11,155,658 times
Reputation: 6303
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mixum View Post
cause all these maps and meteroligists are working out.......
what didn't work out????? This forecast has been in place for DAYS. Here is the problem. Cambium (rightfully so, discusses long term model possibilities and you take it as a FORECAST. Its a discussion on potentials only. I will say it over and over ..until 3 or 4 days out its an educated guess. If they were forecasting snow Monday and it was rain today I'd agree it was a bust. But we have KNOWN it was gonna be rain since Sunday. Just a good forecast. You're disappointment in the outcome does not equal a busted forecast. Take the long term model talk for what it is TALK. Just trying to help you out here.
 
Old 11-27-2013, 12:19 PM
 
Location: Bottom of the Ocean
679 posts, read 1,189,437 times
Reputation: 141
2 PM Temps...
Courtesy NWS

Boston MA - 57F
Taunton MA - 63F
Nantucket MA - 58F
Newport RI - 58F
Block Island RI - 57F
Montauk NY - 55F
New London CT - 56F
Hartford CT - 46F
New Haven CT - 50F
Bridgeport CT - 48F
Danbury CT - 43F
Stamford CT - 43F

Islip NY - 47F
New York NY - 43F
Newark NJ - 42F
Philadelphia PA - 41F
Atlantic City NJ - 42F
 
Old 11-27-2013, 12:29 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,502 posts, read 75,260,686 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tubeworm View Post
2 PM Temps...
Courtesy NWS
New London CT - 56F
Hartford CT - 46F
New Haven CT - 50F
Bridgeport CT - 48F
Danbury CT - 43F
Stamford CT - 43F
I love your updates! Temps are crashing! Check out NWS Upton! get ready to see the white stuff. Don't expect much accumulations but BE CAREFUL. Wet roads and sub freezing temps = icy spots!

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AS ITS COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON.

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

AT 16Z...THE ELONGATED LOW PRES SYS EXTENDED FROM NEW HAMPSHIRE SW
ACROSS WESTERN LONG ISLAND AND OFF THE NJ COAST.

WITH STRONG LOW LVL COLD AIR ADVECTION ADVECTING EAST BEHIND THIS
FRONT...SFC TEMPS FELL MUCH MORE QUICKLY THAN EARLIER
FORECAST...FALLING 10 DEGREES PLUS WITHIN 2 HOURS.


SIGNIFICANT UPDATES WERE MADE TO THE HOURLY TEMPS AND DEW POINTS
BASED ON CURRENT OBSERVATIONS AND NEAR TERM TRENDS. THIS RATE OF
TEMP FALLS WERE NOT HANDLED BY ANY FCST GUIDANCE
.

MODELS ARE SHOWING SOME RAPID COLD AIR ADVECTION WITH NORTHWEST FLOW
INTO EARLY EVENING. THE WINDS WILL BACK WITH HEIGHT. THIS WILL
ALLOW FOR A TRANSITION TO SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA FROM WEST
TO EAST. MOST OF THESE WILL BE NORTH AND WEST OF NYC WITH SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A COATING
. MODELS REALLY DRY UP BETWEEN 00Z
THU - 06Z THU WITH EXCEPTION OF NORTHERN TIER OF NORTHERN ZONES
AND TOTALLY DRY CONDITIONS THEREAFTER
 
Old 11-27-2013, 12:50 PM
 
2,601 posts, read 3,396,369 times
Reputation: 2395
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mixum View Post
cause all these maps and meteroligists are working out.......
Go learn about probability. Weather forecasting is an inexact science that has a smaller and smaller probability of being correct the farther out you go.
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