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Old 01-31-2015, 08:36 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,333,969 times
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Latest Snow total forecast map blended from different offices.

Atantic City and DC got screwed (or lucky) with this one. 2 days ago they were in the thick of things. lol Even Long Island went from nothing to a foot now less.

Lets watch that wobble! Although CT would need a huge shift to get away from the 6"+ amounts

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Old 01-31-2015, 08:57 AM
 
Location: Northern Fairfield Co.
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I feel likes it's déjà vu all over again
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Old 01-31-2015, 09:07 AM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,299 posts, read 18,892,517 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Latest Snow total forecast map blended from different offices.

Atantic City and DC got screwed (or lucky) with this one. 2 days ago they were in the thick of things. lol Even Long Island went from nothing to a foot now less.

Lets watch that wobble! Although CT would need a huge shift to get away from the 6"+ amounts
Remembet Atlantic City and DC's historic average is only about 15 inches or so a winter so they 'get lucky' more due to climatology. Even NYC and BDR get just about 25 inches per winter on average.
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Old 01-31-2015, 09:09 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,333,969 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 7 Wishes View Post
Remembet Atlantic City and DC's historic average is only about 15 inches or so a winter so they 'get lucky' more due to climatology. Even NYC and BDR get just about 25 inches per winter on average.
So you're saying the storm track it's taking is based on Climo? So basically the storm can't track south more and give them a big snowstorm because they don't normally get more than 15 inches a year? Just curious.
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Old 01-31-2015, 09:10 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,333,969 times
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I'm not going to lie... getting concerned about an ice storm now....

New GFS north once again!! WTF

I still think we get 6" to accumulate. All a matter of whether it stays all snow or turns to ice/sleet. I DO NOT BELIEVE RAIN is involved in any way for CT
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Old 01-31-2015, 09:19 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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I know this is technical but it shows the atmosphere better...

The Sounding for Danbury, CT from latest GSF12z . 10pm Sunday to 4pm Monday.

"Riding the Line" after 8am

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Old 01-31-2015, 09:54 AM
 
10,007 posts, read 11,164,409 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
So you're saying the storm track it's taking is based on Climo? So basically the storm can't track south more and give them a big snowstorm because they don't normally get more than 15 inches a year? Just curious.
Camb. I know you hate introducing climatology into daily type events, but I think wishes has a valid point. Climatologically speaking those cities don't get much snow for a reason. Sure they can be in good position sometimes but chances are more than not they won't be. It's fair to say climatologically these places need to get lucky to have a big snowstorm. The reason d.c. Only gets 15 inches a year on average is because these storms never set up right .
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Old 01-31-2015, 10:04 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,333,969 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jp03 View Post
Camb. I know you hate introducing climatology into daily type events, but I think wishes has a valid point. Climatologically speaking those cities don't get much snow for a reason. Sure they can be in good position sometimes but chances are more than not they won't be. It's fair to say climatologically these places need to get lucky to have a big snowstorm. The reason d.c. Only gets 15 inches a year on average is because these storms never set up right .
But that's why I am asking... Do these storms not favor those areas because of the Calendar? The answer is No.

Do you think this particular storm shifted north past 2 days because they only get 15 inches a year? Makes no sense at all.

now if you tell me the atmosphere is setup a way that points south don't benefit from Jet stream being south of them, then that might make sense... but this storm in particular did not look at the Calendar.

They were about to get a foot and put them over for the year but something changed and now they wont.
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Old 01-31-2015, 10:09 AM
 
4,716 posts, read 5,961,927 times
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boy, weather.com is all over the place on the snowfall for S/E Connecticut. A few hours ago, it was 11-17", now it's down to "only" 7-11 inches.
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Old 01-31-2015, 10:10 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,333,969 times
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Canadian 12z buries us.

It says Monday 7pm the storm is still off the NJ coast! (slower and colder with the storm).

Snow totals Reds start 10"+, Yellows 15"+ (10:1). That's over 15" for BDL

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