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Old 04-12-2016, 04:39 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,513 posts, read 75,277,900 times
Reputation: 16619

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CT not included in the warmth?? I don't agree with this.



 
Old 04-12-2016, 04:55 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,513 posts, read 75,277,900 times
Reputation: 16619
Drizzling here this morning. What else is new this month.


8 out of 12 days this month I've had precip falling. Grass is green as can be.


 
Old 04-12-2016, 05:07 AM
 
Location: SW Corner of CT
2,706 posts, read 3,378,494 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Drizzling here this morning. What else is new this month.


8 out of 12 days this month I've had precip falling. Grass is green as can be.

Yup, pulled into the driveway last night and my headlights hit a new, tall, batch of weeds growing along the fence line
 
Old 04-12-2016, 06:09 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,513 posts, read 75,277,900 times
Reputation: 16619
8am Radar and temps. Cold front in PA with rains moving across ahead of it. Yellows indicate more steady moderate rains.


 
Old 04-12-2016, 07:42 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,513 posts, read 75,277,900 times
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BTW ... say GOODBYE TO CAPS.


//www.city-data.com/forum/weath...forecasts.html
 
Old 04-12-2016, 07:52 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,513 posts, read 75,277,900 times
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So as it's looking.. We are coming from a Strong Nino, now moderate and forecasted to drop to La Nina soon. I believe will be by Fall. So that means we could be in Neutral conditions for summer.




Looking for years we went from a moderate or strong El Nino over Winter/Spring into a Neutral Summer... Only 3 times. The rest either went fast into La Nina or came from a weak Nino or continued with Nino through summer.

Not like its the only factor but...........

Here is the temp departure result of those 3 years..

1966 - CT had a normal summer. Hartford hit 102° July that year with a couple of heat waves






1983 - Looks like a cool west / Hot North Central / Normal East.


Hartford hit 90°+ 30 times that summer including hitting 98° in June.





1992 - Umm, Wow. I don't remember this summer. Hartford did hit 90° twice in July and August but all 3 months ended up below normal that year.


NYC had 1 heat wave July 1992 and close to one in August but all months ended up below normal





The blend of all those years. I would use the light greens as "normal" but doesn't look like a Neutral ENSO summer coming from a moderate or Strong Nino has a hot look to Summers on average.





Here comes 7Wishes with more cool stats and me memories.
 
Old 04-12-2016, 10:22 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,513 posts, read 75,277,900 times
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Front clears. Skies clear. Temps drop. Another wood stove night.


Here's the Low temp forecast for tonight.


http://www.weather.gov/images/erh/gis/ALY_mint_Day1.png


 
Old 04-12-2016, 11:48 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,513 posts, read 75,277,900 times
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The end is near! Talking about the clouds and front.

I'm starting to get headaches with all these overcast days.


 
Old 04-12-2016, 11:50 AM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,295 posts, read 18,882,521 times
Reputation: 5126
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
So as it's looking.. We are coming from a Strong Nino, now moderate and forecasted to drop to La Nina soon. I believe will be by Fall. So that means we could be in Neutral conditions for summer.




Looking for years we went from a moderate or strong El Nino over Winter/Spring into a Neutral Summer... Only 3 times. The rest either went fast into La Nina or came from a weak Nino or continued with Nino through summer.

Not like its the only factor but...........

Here is the temp departure result of those 3 years..

1966 - CT had a normal summer. Hartford hit 102° July that year with a couple of heat waves






1983 - Looks like a cool west / Hot North Central / Normal East.


Hartford hit 90°+ 30 times that summer including hitting 98° in June.





1992 - Umm, Wow. I don't remember this summer. Hartford did hit 90° twice in July and August but all 3 months ended up below normal that year.


NYC had 1 heat wave July 1992 and close to one in August but all months ended up below normal





The blend of all those years. I would use the light greens as "normal" but doesn't look like a Neutral ENSO summer coming from a moderate or Strong Nino has a hot look to Summers on average.





Here comes 7Wishes with more cool stats and me memories.
Well I wasn't born in 1966 yet (not for another year) but it had some extreme heat just before July 4 that included an incredible 107 degrees at LGA. My wife was 1 year old then (yeah, "older woman") and her mom talks about "camping out" on Orchard Beach in the Bronx that night to cool off (I can't imagine doing that now....heck as a kid in the 70s just a few years after that I can't imagine doing that! )

1983 - In HS and not much into weather yet (that started in my college/Albany years a little later) but I've read that September was extremely warm with several 90 degree days. I've also read that it snowed and stuck on April 19!

1992 - That was a cool summer and year in general I remember, some were blaming it on the Mount Pinatubo volcanic explosion the year before in the Phillipines.
 
Old 04-12-2016, 11:56 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,513 posts, read 75,277,900 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by 7 Wishes View Post
1992 - That was a cool summer and year in general I remember, some were blaming it on the Mount Pinatubo volcanic explosion the year before in the Phillipines.

yeah, I left that post in the Summer thread and ChicagoGeorge reminded me that was the Pinatubo year so kinda skewing with the average there.



This graph is more for the globe but you can assume the look for the U.S is similar with the 1992 drop


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