[Cambium]

https://twitter.com/RyanBretonWX/sta...27865963085825

[synchem]

The seasons have shifted-- Winter now consists of March and only March.

[Cambium]

And what are the odds of this for tonight. Storm going SOUTH of us in March. Thats what you see in winter months. Means the jet stream is south of us.

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
400 PM EST Mon Mar 6 2023

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
Guidance has converged for the weak and quick moving low
pressure system that will be moving out of the upper midwest and
passing to the south of the region tonight. The trend has been
for a colder and slightly farther southern track, with mainly
snow across the area late this evening and overnight. There may
be a brief rain/snow mix at the onset, and transition to snow as
the atmospheric column cools. Precipitation will be generally
light with weak upper support with a flat and broad shortwave
moving through the area. Timing of the precipitation is also
rather consistent with onset around 1000 PM and ending by 500
AM, with the bulk falling in a 3 hour window midnight to 300 AM.
The onset may be delayed as the lower layers are dry, and will
have to be overcome. The band of snowfall is also rather narrow,
with a sharp gradient of no snow to 1 to 1 1/2 inches of
snowfall. And locations to the northeast and east likely see no
to very little precipitation. Therefore, any minor shift in the
track of the low will have impacts to where the heaviest snow
will occur. With the ending time of snow toward Tuesday morning,
the morning commute will be impacted and this is highlighted in
the hazardous weather outlook (HWOOKX).

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by Cambium

And what are the odds of this for tonight. Storm going SOUTH of us in March. Thats what you see in winter months. Means the jet stream is south of us.

It's even crazier than that, some models show as close as NYC and southern Westchester getting up to an inch but CT gets nada.....

Would/will be weird for me to wake up to snow but none at work.....

[Cambium]

Heavy snow with rates up to 1" per hour in areas outlined in blue

[Cambium]

Tonight... haha.. missing us to the south

[Cambium]

Loop past 4 hrs, NYC sees snowflakes but nothing in CT. Haha

White Plains reporting snow too. NJ with accumulating snow

[Cambium]

March. This temp forecast looks like a December forecast

[SteveM85]

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

It's even crazier than that, some models show as close as NYC and southern Westchester getting up to an inch but CT gets nada.....

Would/will be weird for me to wake up to snow but none at work.....

No snow here in White Plains and none on the CT coast.
Give it up guys. It's over

[Cambium]

Latest GFS has a snowstorm Saturday

Waiting for rest of models to update.

Edit:

Canadian is a miss to the south
German is a light weak event

Euro updates at 1pm