[Cambium]

Future radar loop 4pm today to 12pm tomorrow.


Actually showing as starting as rain then changing to snow overnight. If was all snow we would of seen warning level event

[beer belly]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Future radar loop 4pm today to 12pm tomorrow.


Actually showing as starting as rain then changing to snow overnight. If was all snow we would of seen warning level event

Oh poo

[LINative]

Originally Posted by beer belly

Oh poo

No, fortunately just a little rain and snow.

[Cambium]

Already they are using examples why it wont be snow Tuesday.

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
1015 AM EST Fri Mar 10 2023

The primary focus for the long term will be on a potentially
impactful coastal low pressure system affecting the area through
much of the first half of next week.

Weak high pressure and an upper-level ridge over the Northeast
Sunday night moves eastward as a digging trough and multiple
shortwaves approach from the west. A southern stream shortwave over
the Southeast US begins to interact with a northern stream shortwave
embedded in a digging trough over the Upper Midwest Sunday night and
into early Monday. At the surface, two centers of low pressure over
the Great Lakes and Southeast US interact. Guidance has indicated
that the southern stream shortwave produces a coastal low pressure
off of the Mid-Atlantic coast that may very quickly intensify as the
energy from the northern stream shortwave phases with it. The
coastal low then moves northeastward, likely passing over or south
of the area late Monday and into early Tuesday. While the
positioning of this system may end up tracking close to the 70W 40N
benchmark resulting in typically snowy scenarios, a lack of a strong
high pressure system to the north and antecedent cold air means that
much of the precipitation for this system, especially for the coast,
remains largely plain rain.

There remains ample uncertainty in the degree and timing of phasing,
as well as the ultimate tracking of the low, but thinking now is
that much of the area initially sees rain Monday night and into
Tuesday. As the low occludes and wraps up over coastal New England
into late Tuesday, the strong NW flow may allow cold enough air to
support a mix with and transition to snow on the backside of the
low. The low then spins over the Northeast through the day on
Wednesday before finally departing on Thursday. The rest of the week
looks to remain generally dry with another low pressure possibly
impact the area by the weekend.

Lets come back to this post in 3 days. It's about the track folks and when the Upper Level Vortex "catches" the coastal storm.

[Cambium]

NBC CT going with 4-7" tonight for Fairfield County north of Merritt.


https://www.nbcconnecticut.com/weath...night/2991109/


Meanwhile...…….. 1-3"?



https://twitter.com/MetMikeWCVB/stat...07058403016712

[Cambium]

Guys...… Our most memorable storms came from a storm that actually stalled or looped.


GFS, Canadian, German and Euro 12z have this storm Tuesday looping around in Southern New England. Wow!!! No wonder why we're seeing over 2"qpf results

This is incredible to see. If it stays cold enough this could be another memorable one

[Cambium]

Euro model snowfall total next 5 days. Lolol unbelievable

This includes the 1-4" for tonight

[Cambium]

We didn't even get past this 1st snow event.. lol





https://twitter.com/WeatherNut27/sta...25448925540357

[Wilton2ParkAve]

Snow forecasts collapsing for SW CT. Cancelled my plow for the AM.

[Wilton2ParkAve]

We might not get a flake….