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Old 06-30-2010, 11:54 AM
 
Location: Planet Eaarth
8,954 posts, read 20,681,743 times
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A possible economic future for all......

"So just what would a war between Israel and Iran mean for the world economy?

The following are 7 potential economic effects of a conflict between Israel and Iran...."


7 Potential Economic Effects Of A War With Iran
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Old 06-30-2010, 12:37 PM
 
14,993 posts, read 23,896,013 times
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The writer failed to discuss the type of war. No one invisions an all out land war - simply for the fact that Israel and Iran DO NOT JOIN BORDERS. And it's not like they have an aircraft carrier fleet or friendly neighboring nation nearby to use as a base to launch one. For that simple fact alone - this article is worthless. There will be some financial impact, as instability in the middle east always seems to, but the impact will not be calamoutous and it will be quickly over.

A war would, thus, be limited - air strikes by Israel, missle strikes by Iran. Once israel achieves it's goals (if even possible) of damaging Iran's nuclear capability, it will be over.

Why do we know this? Because it happened before. Israel sent bombers to damage Iran's nuclear test sites, and that was it. It was over and done in about 1 hour. Of course now Iran has hardened bunkers, so Israel would have to use some sophisticated hardware to destroy these nuclear sites. Iran may have some methods of missle retaliation - but why? They are much more effective just arming Hamas to throw missles over from Gaza.

But - I can't envision a massive land war an any practical scenario. People can play arm chair general as much as they want, but it's not happening, for logistical/practical reasons alone.
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Old 06-30-2010, 04:47 PM
 
Location: Planet Eaarth
8,954 posts, read 20,681,743 times
Reputation: 7193
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dd714 View Post
The writer failed to discuss the type of war. No one invisions an all out land war - simply for the fact that Israel and Iran DO NOT JOIN BORDERS. And it's not like they have an aircraft carrier fleet or friendly neighboring nation nearby to use as a base to launch one. For that simple fact alone - this article is worthless. There will be some financial impact, as instability in the middle east always seems to, but the impact will not be calamoutous and it will be quickly over.

A war would, thus, be limited - air strikes by Israel, missle strikes by Iran. Once israel achieves it's goals (if even possible) of damaging Iran's nuclear capability, it will be over.

Why do we know this? Because it happened before. Israel sent bombers to damage Iran's nuclear test sites, and that was it. It was over and done in about 1 hour. Of course now Iran has hardened bunkers, so Israel would have to use some sophisticated hardware to destroy these nuclear sites. Iran may have some methods of missle retaliation - but why? They are much more effective just arming Hamas to throw missles over from Gaza.

But - I can't envision a massive land war an any practical scenario. People can play arm chair general as much as they want, but it's not happening, for logistical/practical reasons alone.
Did you read the whole story? It's hard to believe that Israel will stand for any other country in the region having nukes no matter if they border them or not.

It helps to remember that Israel's big brothers America & the UK will provide all the help they need to defend themselves up to an including arms out the whazoo!
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Old 06-30-2010, 05:39 PM
 
9,846 posts, read 22,677,486 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dd714 View Post
Why do we know this? Because it happened before. Israel sent bombers to damage Iran's nuclear test sites, and that was it. It was over and done in about 1 hour. Of course now Iran has hardened bunkers, so Israel would have to use some sophisticated hardware to destroy these nuclear sites. Iran may have some methods of missle retaliation - but why? They are much more effective just arming Hamas to throw missles over from Gaza.
Actually it was Iraq in 1981 and Syria in 2008.

Both times there was neither widespread panic in world markets nor a regional war.

Most people like to talk but few want to do the dirty work. If Israel does the dirty work with Iran most of the region will be quite pleased secretly. You'll have some thug dictators and other whiny liberals blow hard in the UN, but really for most countries it will be thumbs up behind the curtains.
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Old 07-01-2010, 09:11 AM
 
14,993 posts, read 23,896,013 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wanneroo View Post
Actually it was Iraq in 1981 and Syria in 2008.

Both times there was neither widespread panic in world markets nor a regional war.

Most people like to talk but few want to do the dirty work. If Israel does the dirty work with Iran most of the region will be quite pleased secretly. You'll have some thug dictators and other whiny liberals blow hard in the UN, but really for most countries it will be thumbs up behind the curtains.
You are correct sir - that was Iraq (and Syria). I do hope Israel does the dirty work and you are indeed correct, the leaders of the other Arab states would be all bluster but secretly they would be please that Iran is b*tch slapped down. Nothing destabilizes a region more than Nukes, and Syria, Saudia Arabia, Jordan, etc will be overjoyed (allthough they can't make it public) that Iranian nuclear efforts are ceased.
We just need to ship Israel a load of our bunker busters and let them do their thing.

So glad this isn't posted in the politics section. You would have all sorts of crazy conspiracy responses by now.
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Old 07-01-2010, 09:26 AM
 
Location: Sinking in the Great Salt Lake
13,138 posts, read 22,815,703 times
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Buy stocks in AM General, Haliburton, Colt, General Dynamics and FN Herstal while you still can...
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Old 07-01-2010, 09:52 AM
 
14,993 posts, read 23,896,013 times
Reputation: 26523
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tightwad View Post
Did you read the whole story? It's hard to believe that Israel will stand for any other country in the region having nukes no matter if they border them or not.

It helps to remember that Israel's big brothers America & the UK will provide all the help they need to defend themselves up to an including arms out the whazoo!
And did you read my post? We both agree on that, what we don't agree on is the premise of the article on the financial impact - because they incorrectly assume an extended land based conventional war will occur between Iran and Israel. I submit that that scenario is almost impossible, for a multitude of reasons.
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