Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
Romney's within striking distance, and I think he's going to surprise people at the polls on that day. The voter turnout will be bigger for Romney on Tuesday than it will be for Obama. I'm saying this as an Obama supporter. I think Ohio will return to its regular voting pattern. Ohio never really fell in love with Obama, and the voters in that state have a history of ignoring economics in favor of other issues.
Another sensible liberal I hope more on your side are tempering their confidence of an Obama win. I fear when Romney wins that because the polls have been so bad that folks will claim fraud or some other irregularity which could divide the country further.
Romney's within striking distance, and I think he's going to surprise people at the polls on that day. The voter turnout will be bigger for Romney on Tuesday than it will be for Obama. I'm saying this as an Obama supporter. I think Ohio will return to its regular voting pattern. Ohio never really fell in love with Obama, and the voters in that state have a history of ignoring economics in favor of other issues.
I don't think that they appreciate being lied to to about the auto industry and by Jeep moving jobs to China. But then again faux and feinds are a powerful foe to rational and intelligent thinking. I have heard that there are pollsters that did not know about the lie or the rebuttle by Jeep as well
Another sensible liberal I hope more on your side are tempering their confidence of an Obama win. I fear when Romney wins that because the polls have been so bad that folks will claim fraud or some other irregularity which could divide the country further.
It is a possibility for two reasons because it happened before and secondly mitt's son involvement in the polling machines in Ohio
Your numbers for Obama is wrong LOL...It would be .62(1.6M)+.42(4.1)=2.71M
LOL. So it's over already. It looks like Ohio Republicans knew what they were doing when they tried to suppress early voting in Ohio. It is a good thing for America that the SCOTUS saw what they were up to as well.
The main argument that people have against election odds favoring Obama is that the models assume incorrectly that Democrats will turn out in the same numbers as in 2008. Really though, I haven't seen a statistical model used that actually makes any assumptions like that. The skew could, however, come from polls (instead of models), but most state polls are now using the statistic of likely voters instead of just registered voters. Are Democrats more probable to claim to be likely to vote and not actually vote? That's the only possibility that I can see.
Another sensible liberal I hope more on your side are tempering their confidence of an Obama win. I fear when Romney wins that because the polls have been so bad that folks will claim fraud or some other irregularity which could divide the country further.
Obama has already said he has droves of lawyers ready to act...
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
Is Democratic poll bias a reality?
