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Seems to me that good strategy for Trump is to let Cruz win Tx. It won't score him much in net delegates, and it keeps him in the race where he will continue to split votes with Rubio.
Seems to me that good strategy for Trump is to let Cruz win Tx. It won't score him much in net delegates, and it keeps him in the race where he will continue to split votes with Rubio.
It's not a winner take all state. Of the 108 district level delegates, he could win 72 while Trump gets 36 (a 2 to 1 split because he will win with less than 50%). Of the 44 at large delegates, they will be split among those wining by over 20%. Let's say, Cruz gets 22, with Trump gets 22. There are 3 automatic/magic/rnc delegates, who knows what they will do. So all toll, Cruz could get 94 and Trump could get 58. I'm not even including the possibility that Rubio could go over 20%. These guesstimates are just a crude unscientific rough draft of one possibility I was thinking about this morning.
The bottom line is that Trump can lose Texas and still come out very well on Tuesday which he most certainly is expected to do. Even if Cruz wins Texas, he has no other place to go in accumulating delegates. All Texas will do is keep Cruz in the race for an indeterminate period of time splitting the votes in states after Super Tuesday to Trumps benefit.
That's the realistic scenario, not just wishful thinking.
Well while I think Cruz will win Texas i'm not sure be how much....it could be a lot.I'll wait for the poll that matters....on Tuesday.
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Cruz beating Trump badly in Texas..
