Quote:
Originally Posted by hawkeye2009
It seems as though there are large numbers of voters (both democrat and republican) who dislike thier likely party candidate, as well as hate thier opposite party opponant.
One would think that this would be a recipe for a low voter turnout. If so, who does that favor and why? I have no idea, as I could see (under certain circumstances) either Hillary or Trump winning the election.
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A very good question. I'm like you; I can see the possibility of any of them winning the nomination, and any one of them winning the general election.
As to a guess the turnout, mine is the turnout will either be higher than 2012 or about the same lower than 2012; both Trump and Sanders have engaged a lot of first-time voters, but if either fails to win the nomination, their voters may not participate in the general election.
If the race becomes Clinton vs. Cruz, I tend to think a lot of base voters on both sides may choose to stay home.
The wild cards this time will be the female voters and the minority voters. I think the women are more intent than men are on both sides this time, and if the Hispanics decide to flex their electoral muscles and turn out in big numbers, this election will be a signal of greater changes to come, no matter who wins.
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