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distorted research causes this situation, when our researchers understand that the electoral dynamics are state and not federal, maybe they get right . Democrats need 23 seats, they can achieve that in blue states, a New Jersey state poll put the Democrats at 20 pts in intent to vote, that means the 7 to 5 can turn into a 12 to 0, the same can happen in Maryland.
That’s a big drop very quickly, which suggests it’s an outlier without other polling showing similar moves. And the elections we’ve seen so far have made strong moves toward the Democrats, so it’s a little too early to say this is good for Republicans.
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