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Old 10-28-2020, 06:24 PM
 
Location: Atlanta, GA
14,834 posts, read 7,423,176 times
Reputation: 8966

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Quote:
Originally Posted by lkm370 View Post
Its not just that. Biden is overpreforming with white voters by 10% compared to Stacy Abrahms who lost the gubentorial election by 1%. Thats enough to put Biden over the top in a state like GA.
Yep, there are lots of college educated whites such as myself in Atlanta metro that are sick of Trump.

This is a group that would normally have a larger fraction voting R if the candidate was decent.

 
Old 10-28-2020, 06:35 PM
 
Location: Los Angeles
7,826 posts, read 2,734,504 times
Reputation: 3387
Quote:
Originally Posted by atltechdude View Post
Yep, there are lots of college educated whites such as myself in Atlanta metro that are sick of Trump.

This is a group that would normally have a larger fraction voting R if the candidate was decent.
White Suburban women will be a primary factor here.
 
Old 10-28-2020, 06:38 PM
 
Location: Atlanta, GA
14,834 posts, read 7,423,176 times
Reputation: 8966
Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnBoy64 View Post
White Suburban women will be a primary factor here.
Also very true, there are a lot of white suburban women that are sick of telling their kids that Donald Trump is not a role model worthy of emulation even if he is the president.
 
Old 10-28-2020, 08:08 PM
 
Location: Atlanta, GA
14,834 posts, read 7,423,176 times
Reputation: 8966
Poll of early voters (people who have already voted) in GA:

Biden 55%
Trump 43%

From Monmouth.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-ins...oll_GA_102820/
 
Old 10-28-2020, 08:10 PM
Status: "Moldy Tater Gangrene, even before Moscow Marge." (set 8 days ago)
 
Location: Dallas, TX
5,790 posts, read 3,604,359 times
Reputation: 5697
Quote:
Originally Posted by atltechdude View Post
Also very true, there are a lot of white suburban women that are sick of telling their kids that Donald Trump is not a role model worthy of emulation even if he is the president.
I'm childfree, but if I had kids of that age, even I would be tired of telling them that. I hope my youngest nephew (now in 9th grade) was old enough to see back in the 5th grade that Trump's not role-model-worthy.
 
Old 10-28-2020, 08:13 PM
 
Location: Lilburn GA
487 posts, read 1,817,245 times
Reputation: 674
Quote:
Originally Posted by Yorkshire56 View Post
If Georgia was competitive Trump would be doing multiple rallies there. He will win it by 4-5 points
His commercials sure seems like he’s worried, saw one today trying to either entice Black men to vote for him or stay home. Basically shows a Biden from the 80’s/90’s “lock the SOB’s up” crime bills which was definitely detrimental to Black men. I must say as a Black man, it’s convincing.
 
Old 10-28-2020, 09:54 PM
 
Location: Atlanta metro (Cobb County)
3,168 posts, read 2,219,936 times
Reputation: 4237
Quote:
Originally Posted by LAB6120 View Post
His commercials sure seems like he’s worried, saw one today trying to either entice Black men to vote for him or stay home. Basically shows a Biden from the 80’s/90’s “lock the SOB’s up” crime bills which was definitely detrimental to Black men. I must say as a Black man, it’s convincing.
The Trump campaign is sending flyers through the mail on this same subject, referencing various Biden statements from the mid '90s and earlier in addition to his "you ain't black" comment from this year. I am not Black (as my Georgia registration reflects) so they are likely targeting this message to a wide cross-section of the electorate, perhaps to voters who participated in this year's Democratic primaries. The day when I can count on never receiving another text, printed material or phone call from the Trump campaign and its surrogates again will be greatly welcomed.
 
Old 10-28-2020, 10:32 PM
 
4,120 posts, read 6,614,239 times
Reputation: 2290
Quote:
Originally Posted by atltechdude View Post
Poll of early voters (people who have already voted) in GA:

Biden 55%
Trump 43%

From Monmouth.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-ins...oll_GA_102820/
If this is accurate then Trump is done.

As of today 3.42 million people have voted in the election, if you use the poll above then Biden has a 400k vote lead as of tonight. I don't see anyway Trump can make up this many votes on election day.

Quick math.
Biden 1.88 million
Trump 1.47 million
 
Old 10-30-2020, 07:07 AM
 
4,120 posts, read 6,614,239 times
Reputation: 2290
Ballots Cast as of 8 p.m. on October 29, 2020

Total Number of Ballots Cast: 3,619,278

Total Number of Early, In-Person Ballots Cast Today: 149,911

Total Number of Early, In-Person Ballots Cast: 2,466,556

Total Number of Absentee By Mail Ballots Cast: 1,152,722

If you use the Monmouth poll.

Biden = 1.99 million
Trump = 1.556 million

Last edited by bellhead; 10-30-2020 at 07:50 AM..
 
Old 10-30-2020, 07:21 AM
 
5,938 posts, read 4,703,229 times
Reputation: 4631
Quote:
Originally Posted by atltechdude View Post
I early voted in GA today.

My wait time in a wealthy white area was less than 1 min. There was one person in line in front of me.

Contrast this with a lot of poor black areas where it seems like you might have to wait hours.
I've seen this first hand in SC. I initially rented an apartment while I looked for a house. The first time I voted here, it was like the entire town was voting at one polling place. I don't remember if it was a 2 or 3 hour wait... but it was a long time.

I've since moved to a more affluent area of town. I drive by that polling place on my way home. On Election Day, that line is still out the door, zig-zagging through the parking lot. Whereas my polling place serves a total of 800 registered voters. And it takes just minutes. And sure enough, my precinct is about 60/40 Rep/Dem on most votes. And that other precinct is about 30/70 Rep/Dem. But they have to wait VERY long to make their voices heard.
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