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Old 10-17-2020, 05:19 PM
 
Location: Philadelphia (Center City)
956 posts, read 790,146 times
Reputation: 1351

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I used to live in GA. I can't believe it's changed that much. That's Trump country. The Trump campaign has mounted a major effort to distort the polls to make it appear he is losing to ensure that his supporters turn out. Trump supporters are stating they are planning to vote for Biden to lull the Democrats into feeling complacent about the need to vote... just as they did in 2016.

Why are Democrats so smug when it comes to presidential elections? Obama almost lost his election for a second term due to an over-confident constituency that couldn't be bothered to vote.

https://www.techbooky.com/trump-bide...ai-prediction/

 
Old 10-17-2020, 05:23 PM
 
Location: Seattle, WA
1,018 posts, read 512,188 times
Reputation: 976
And, there is no way Georgia is turning to Biden. Too many rural Central and South parts of state as well as ATL suburbs that will overturn the democrats.
 
Old 10-17-2020, 05:40 PM
 
Location: Atlanta metro (Cobb County)
3,165 posts, read 2,219,936 times
Reputation: 4237
Quote:
Originally Posted by Boss1234 View Post
And, there is no way Georgia is turning to Biden. Too many rural Central and South parts of state as well as ATL suburbs that will overturn the democrats.
Suburban metro Atlanta has been evolving rapidly in recent years. The 6th district that was previously represented by a Republican who joined Trump's cabinet, and later resigned in disgrace, now has a Democratic House member who is favored for re-election. Also the 7th district is open this cycle and has a very good chance of flipping after the retiring Republican member barely won in 2018.

Georgia isn't the same place it used to be, and the rural areas lose a little influence each election cycle. My guess is Trump is more likely than not to carry the state but by only 1 to 3%.
 
Old 10-17-2020, 10:10 PM
 
Location: Atlanta, GA
14,834 posts, read 7,421,906 times
Reputation: 8966
Georgia goes blue, things have shifted more than D+5 on average most places, and that's all it would take to flip.
 
Old 10-17-2020, 10:22 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,194 posts, read 19,481,704 times
Reputation: 5306
Quote:
Originally Posted by Boss1234 View Post
And, there is no way Georgia is turning to Biden. Too many rural Central and South parts of state as well as ATL suburbs that will overturn the democrats.
Suburban Atlanta is not nearly as Republican as you think. Now the further out areas like Forsyth & Cherokee? Yes The larger populated areas such as Cobb & Gwinnett? LOL, they are GONE for the GOP. Trump easily loses Gwinnett by double digits and very likely Cobb as well.
 
Old 10-17-2020, 10:24 PM
 
Location: San Diego
50,356 posts, read 47,109,092 times
Reputation: 34101
Quote:
Originally Posted by jas75 View Post
Suburban metro Atlanta has been evolving rapidly in recent years. The 6th district that was previously represented by a Republican who joined Trump's cabinet, and later resigned in disgrace, now has a Democratic House member who is favored for re-election. Also the 7th district is open this cycle and has a very good chance of flipping after the retiring Republican member barely won in 2018.

Georgia isn't the same place it used to be, and the rural areas lose a little influence each election cycle. My guess is Trump is more likely than not to carry the state but by only 1 to 3%.
best answer
 
Old 10-18-2020, 04:07 PM
 
Location: Los Angeles
7,826 posts, read 2,733,961 times
Reputation: 3387
Quote:
Originally Posted by jas75 View Post
Suburban metro Atlanta has been evolving rapidly in recent years. The 6th district that was previously represented by a Republican who joined Trump's cabinet, and later resigned in disgrace, now has a Democratic House member who is favored for re-election. Also the 7th district is open this cycle and has a very good chance of flipping after the retiring Republican member barely won in 2018.

Georgia isn't the same place it used to be, and the rural areas lose a little influence each election cycle. My guess is Trump is more likely than not to carry the state but by only 1 to 3%.
Agreed....best answer
 
Old 10-18-2020, 04:11 PM
 
2,983 posts, read 1,168,953 times
Reputation: 2731

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hd4U1owjcVw Keep cherry picking: polls!
 
Old 10-18-2020, 05:36 PM
 
Location: Free State of Florida
25,812 posts, read 12,859,717 times
Reputation: 19363
Quote:
Originally Posted by jas75 View Post
Suburban metro Atlanta has been evolving rapidly in recent years. The 6th district that was previously represented by a Republican who joined Trump's cabinet, and later resigned in disgrace, now has a Democratic House member who is favored for re-election. Also the 7th district is open this cycle and has a very good chance of flipping after the retiring Republican member barely won in 2018.

Georgia isn't the same place it used to be, and the rural areas lose a little influence each election cycle. My guess is Trump is more likely than not to carry the state but by only 1 to 3%.
"Evolving" means there has been a significant demographic shift going on for the past 20+ years.

These districts used to be lilly white conservative mecca's, out in the exburbs of Atlanta.

New Gingrich used to be the Rep from Georgia's 6th, and John Linder from the 7th....both staunch conservatives who were re-elected to several terms.

As Atlanta grew, the minority population grew out from the urban core & into the suburbs. The growth rate was so fast in Atlanta, the ex-burbs rapidly became suburbs. Parts of these districts are beginning to appear urban, with tall buildings, heavy traffic, high population density, & mass transit. Both have sizeable Universities/Colleges. High schools are 3,000+, & massive traffic jams are commonplace.

The indigineous exburb population moved further out, & away from Atlanta, & the demographics shifted a lot.

Every major city goes through a growth spurt like this, and the politics changes with the demographics.

The Atlanta metro is know to be a black-friendly area. It is successfully integrated, & there is little racial strife and unrest. Its like much of the South. District 7 has a huge affluent Korean population as well. The Koreans do not vote much, or engage politically.

Both these districts will become Democrat strongholds in the years ahead due to the changing demographics. They will begin to exhibit the problems of most urban areas with high crime, & failing schools. For now, the outermost areas of these districts are still conservative, but the high population density areas closer to the city of Atlanta are racially diverse, & pushing outward.
 
Old 10-18-2020, 05:50 PM
 
Location: The South
7,481 posts, read 6,268,742 times
Reputation: 13002
Since I have nothing better to do,I have rode around a LOT just counting Trump - Pence signs and Biden and whats her name signs. My poll is running about 99 to 1 Trump-Pence.
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