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A Marquette University poll says that Barnes is up 51% to 44%. However remember that Johnson made a late surge before to beat Feingold.
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A new Marquette University poll shows Democrat Mandela Barnes has opened a lead in this year's U.S. Senate contest against Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, and Democrat incumbent Tony Evers and Republican challenger Tim Michels are in a tight race for Wisconsin governor.
Barnes has been successful in pointing out some of Johnson's statements as "wacky" and there is a public perception that Barnes cares more about people.
Barnes sums up his opponent as saying “wacky stuff” — including, early in the pandemic, suggesting that there was no need to shut down business because “only” about 3.4% of the population would likely die, and that programs like unemployment insurance make people too lazy to work.
Wisconsin's Senate polls in 2016 were way off, with virtually none predicting Johnson would win. It's a good question if they have made any adjustments since, but I won't believe Johnson goes down this year until it happens. After all the state has voted right of the nation in the last two presidential races, and Biden is very unpopular.
To be fair, the 2018 polls for the other Senate seat (held by Democrat Baldwin) were accurate. Maybe having Trump himself on the ballot activated a large number of conservative straight ticket Republican voters who hadn't shown up regularly in the past, and don't respond to polls. But we're in a high engagement era now, and people unhappy with the current administration are likely to be extremely motivated.
Senator Johnson will win reelection by five to ten percentage points.
Rural Wisconsin is rapidly becoming more Republican, as the Democratic Party continues its shift further to the left. And, Senator Johnson will fare better in the Milwaukee suburbs than President Trump.
Lieutenant Governor Barnes denigrating America's founding will not help him, either.
Johnson is a lot less popular today than in 2016. He wasn't upside down in 2016.
True. Johnson also is among the Republicans to side with Trump. The Trump effect is proving to be kryptonite in a "slam dunk year" for the Republicans. The Republican Party should NOT have it this hard in the midterm election year, when a Democrat is in the White House. They simply should not.
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Originally Posted by jas75
Wisconsin's Senate polls in 2016 were way off, with virtually none predicting Johnson would win. It's a good question if they have made any adjustments since, but I won't believe Johnson goes down this year until it happens. After all the state has voted right of the nation in the last two presidential races, and Biden is very unpopular.
To be fair, the 2018 polls for the other Senate seat (held by Democrat Baldwin) were accurate. Maybe having Trump himself on the ballot activated a large number of conservative straight ticket Republican voters who hadn't shown up regularly in the past, and don't respond to polls. But we're in a high engagement era now, and people unhappy with the current administration are likely to be extremely motivated.
In 2016 Russ Feingold crashed and burned at the end, so polling there was going to be off. I cant remember exactly what he did, but it was some huge gaffe about socialism i think. Thats why you see his lead in polls go from double digits to 1 and 2 points.
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