The McCain Blowout Fallacy (votes, campaign, thought, Democrats)

[blacknight04]

Last weekend David Paul Kuhn on Politico wrote about the possibility that John McCain could beat Barack Obama by as many as 50 electoral votes this November. Kuhn cited several GOP strategists, Democrats and an anonymous RNC source who agreed with the "blowout" scenario, which is what a 50+ electoral victory would be.
To the contrary, I'm willing to go on the record saying that, barring an unforeseen scandal, a far more likely scenario is that John McCain will lose by at least 50 electoral votes in November - and possibly as many as 150.

RealClearPolitics - Articles - The McCain Blowout Fallacy

Good read.

[Elmonellie]

Well, it's anyone's guess. My guess is that just as you have seen in the last month or so the shine will keep coming off that brand new coin the Dem's have attached themselves to. By November, Mr. O will have been exposed for what he is: a man with little impressive work experience, the most far left dem pres candidate to ever have run, a stumbling speaker without a teleprompter, the ultimate flip-flopper and mis-speaker and a man who for his adult life, surrounded himself with shady characters and overt racists.

It's clear why George McGovern is so pro-Obama. It's because he wants someone to go down in history as failing more miserably than he in a pres election.

[golfgod]

Wow elmonellie; my screen left off the first couple of lines of your post and I thought you were posting about McCain:

a man with little impressive work experience

, OK, he was a hero for staying in Hanoi when he could have bailed, but since then, hmmmm?

the most far left pres candidate to ever have run

, well the right wing of the R party hates his guts, so he must be pretty far left.

a stumbling speaker without a teleprompter

, true, McCain doesn't "stumble" but when all you do if mouth the same platitudes (no surrender, victory, more tax cuts) over and over it's pretty easy "my friend".

the ultimate flip-flopper

. Have you paid any attention to this man the last 8 years? Against then for bush tax cuts, for and then against immigration reform. Still I guess that's only on two of the three biggest concerns in the US the past 8 years, so let's give him a pass!

and a man who for his adult life, surrounded himself with shady characters

Charles Keating, Phil Gramm, Rev. Hagee, the other Reverend who's name eludes me right now, the 60 or so lobbyists on his campaign staff, G.W Bush. No shady characters in that lot is there?

golfgod

[golfgod]

Oh, I missed one;

mis-speaker

, Sunni/Shia, and of course he keeps repeating that he was "an early and often caller for Rumsfeld's resignation".

Of course he NEVER called for Rumsfeld resignation, he just took the weasel position that "it's the President's call".

Don't try painting others with too broad a brush, you'll get too many spatters on yourself.

golfgod

[bily4]

McCain basically snuck under the radar the entire time and never really had to debate or go up against anyone. Once the spotlight starts shining on him he will melt. Fast.

People are passionate about Obama, love him or hate him. McCain should be doing some viagra commercials. You can feel some pity for the guy, respect his POW service from back in the day, that is about it though.

[purplecow1]

They are both flip-floppers. These will be some interesting debates.

[walidm]

Originally Posted by purplecow1

They are both flip-floppers. These will be some interesting debates.

That's for sure...this was in the LA Times....


McCain's YouTube Problem Just Became a Nightmare

[Old Gringo]

McCain's showing this November will mirror Bob Dole's in 1996.