Here is the referenced poll. It was not on line and Obama has a three point lead which replaces a McCain lead in their last wave of polling.
http://surveys.ap.org/data/Knowledge..._101308_LV.pdf
VOT3B. If the 2008 general election for President were being held today and these were the candidates, would
you vote for…
[RANDOMIZE THE FIRST TWO]
Wave 4 Wave 5 Wave 6 Wave 7 Wave 8
Barack Obama, the Democrat 34 37 40 40 42
John McCain, the Republican 35 35 36 41 39
Bob Barr, the Libertarian - - 1 1 2
Ralph Nader, the independent 3 2 2 2 1
Someone else (specify) 5 3 3 2 1
Don’t know 22 22 17 14 15
Refused / Not Answered 0 0 0 0 0
VOT3BA. If you had to choose, is there one of these candidates that you lean more toward?
[RANDOMIZE THE FIRST TWO]
Wave 5 Wave 6 Wave 7 Wave 8
Barack Obama, the Democrat 14 16 12 14
John McCain, the Republican 18 17 21 18
Bob Barr, the Libertarian - 1 1 1
Ralph Nader, the independent 3 3 0 1
No, don’t lean toward any of
these candidates
26 28 20 20
Don’t know 39 34 45 45
Refused / Not Answered 1 1 1 2
PRES. If the 2008 general election for President were being held today and these were the candidates, would
you vote for…
[RECODED – VOT3B AND VOT3BA]
Wave 5 Wave 6 Wave 7
Wave 8 –
All Adults
Wave 8 –
Likely
Voters
Barack Obama, the Democrat 41 43 42 44 49
John McCain, the Republican 39 39 44 42 44
Bob Barr, the Libertarian - 1 1 1 1
Ralph Nader, the independent 3 3 2 2 1
Someone else 3 3 2 1 1
Don’t know 14 11 9 9 4
Refused / Not Answered 0 0 0 0 0
[